2019 MLB Draft Thread

[50PoundHead]

A 20-year-old catcher with good plate discipline, but not much else offensively, in the 21st. Seems like another org-filler guy.

Catcher is a pretty important position. The ball rolls all the way to the backstop if you don't have one. It always seems that teams draft a ton of college catchers late in the draft to simply fill the rookie league rosters.

[jpx7]

Another college hitter with good plate discipline (20 bb to 17 k in 153 AB) and not much else in Drew Campbell. It’s org-filler time now.

[50PoundHead]

Am I crazy or are all three of the Day 1 picks likely to sign under slot? A million bucks or so could go a long way with the later upside picks.

Could be. The question will be how much will they be willing to go under slot. Case can be made that considerable pool savings may be in the offing, but I have no way of knowing that.

[jpx7]

#23 Drew Campbell is another guy who played his JC ball in Illinois at Olney CC. Something about Illinois connections today.

Texas early, Illinois late—that’s the mantra.

[nsacpi]

Am I crazy or are all three of the Day 1 picks likely to sign under slot? A million bucks or so could go a long way with the later upside picks.

Not crazy.

[50PoundHead]

This is a couple of years old, but it may go a little ways in explaining the Illinois connection: https://www.daily-journal.com/news/l...50a87255a.html

Stu Cann has had a long-time relationship with the Braves, but I don't know if he's still the scout for the Upper Midwest.

[Super]

This is a couple of years old, but it may go a little ways in explaining the Illinois connection: https://www.daily-journal.com/news/l...50a87255a.html

Stu Cann has had a long-time relationship with the Braves, but I don't know if he's still the scout for the Upper Midwest.

if you can't, Stu Cann

[jpx7]

Another guy, Bryce Ball, with good plate discipline (44 bb to 47 k in 197 AB), and another Dallas Baptist connection; 6-6, 235, and hit .320/.435/.640 with 17 HR and 12 2B in 2019.

Originally from Mason City, IA, and played JUCO in that Illinois-adjacent state.

[CJ9]

Another guy, Bryce Ball, with good plate discipline (44 bb to 47 k in 197 AB), and another Dallas Baptist connection; 6-6, 235, and hit .320/.435/.640 with 17 HR and 12 2B in 2019.

Originally from Mason City, IA, and played JUCO in that Illinois-adjacent state.

I actually saw him in two games this year when Dallas Baptist eliminated UF in the NCAA Tournament. I was really impressed by him, lefty bat and hit a long opposite field homer.

[jpx7]

Walk-the-world reliever out of Pensacola State (formerly Junior) College. I took my ACT there.

[Southcack77]

Am I crazy or are all three of the Day 1 picks likely to sign under slot? A million bucks or so could go a long way with the later upside picks.

I'd be interested to see someone walk through how passing money down to Day 3 is a good strategy. I've got a lot of nits to pick with that.

1. It's a thoroughly picked over talent pool.
2. There is not a very good track record of success here, even on over-slot deals.
3. These are guys that either do not project as very high round talents or who have priced themselves beyond what most teams consider appropriate for their talent level. There are perhaps a few exceptions here, but they figure to be relatively few. Your ability to sign more than 1 or 2 of those guys is probably very limited.

[jpx7]

Braves would need $750k in pool space to give each of the six HS players drafted today a $250k bonus (or twice the $125k day-three allotments).

[Carp]

Peyton Williams had pretty good numbers at Catawba College, it seems. Just turned 21. School’s website reports he “has interest in adminstration of justice.”

So you're saying we drafted Batman???

[nsacpi]

Braves would need $750k in pool space to give each of the six HS players drafted today a $250k bonus (or twice the $125k day-three allotments).

we can also go up to 5% over our pool allotment without losing a pick...gives us another 570K to play with

[Super]

I'd be interested to see someone walk through how passing money down to Day 3 is a good strategy. I've got a lot of nits to pick with that.

1. It's a thoroughly picked over talent pool.
2. There is not a very good track record of success here, even on over-slot deals.
3. These are guys that either do not project as very high round talents or who have priced themselves beyond what most teams consider appropriate for their talent level. There are perhaps a few exceptions here, but they figure to be relatively few. Your ability to sign more than 1 or 2 of those guys is probably very limited.

i think it could make sense in that beyond a certain (pretty early) point it's all kind of a crapshoot, so adding as many talented lottery tickets as possible instead of trying to hit on early-round-but-not-1st-round guys could work. *shrugs* idk.

[Jaw]

I'd be interested to see someone walk through how passing money down to Day 3 is a good strategy. I've got a lot of nits to pick with that.

1. It's a thoroughly picked over talent pool.
2. There is not a very good track record of success here, even on over-slot deals.
3. These are guys that either do not project as very high round talents or who have priced themselves beyond what most teams consider appropriate for their talent level. There are perhaps a few exceptions here, but they figure to be relatively few. Your ability to sign more than 1 or 2 of those guys is probably very limited.

I'm generally confused by the slot money games that are played and kind of wish they would go away. However, smart people are in charge and I have to think they put a lot of thought into their draft strategy. Hopefully it turns out to be brilliant.

[jpx7]

Riley King seems like another plate-discipline guy.

Plays 3B and OF, but shouldn’t be confused with King Riley.

[thewupk]

After a couple of days to reflect I'd be willing to make a bet Shea Langeliers has more WAR in his controlled years than Wright or Anderson. Or hell even Stewart whenever he tries to come back to MLB.

[jpx7]

Another guy, in Indigo Diaz, who played at an Iowa JUCO.

[nsacpi]

some guesses:

Langeliers signs for 4.5M (400K under slot)
Shumake signs for 2.6M (500K under slot)
Philip signs for 700K (500K under slot)


giving us 1.4M to play plus about 600K from exceeding pool by 5%. So 2M to play with.

Who might get that?

400K for the Italian stallion Paolini
200K for Kalich who has an extra year of eligibility (draft eligible sophomore)
200K for the Mormon kid who also has an extra year of eligibility
1.2M total for the 6 HS kids taken after round 10

Total over slot is 2M.