Page 2 of 2 FirstFirst 12
Results 21 to 22 of 22

Thread: Where are the 2019 Braves on the Expected Win Curve

  1. #21
    Mr. Free Trade
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    3,139
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    470
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    834
    Thanked in
    514 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    FG has the following projections (guessing for Markakis/Duvall in LF), keep in mind the totals for each position include bench contributions at those positions:

    C (Flowers/Mac) - 3.5 wins (add ~1 win for framing)
    1B (Freeman/Duvall) - 4.4
    2B (Albies/Camargo) - 3.6
    SS (Swanson/Camargo) - 2.1
    3B (JD/Camargo) - 4.5
    LF (Markakis/Duvall) - 1.4
    CF (Inciarte/Acuna) - 2.7
    RF (Acuna/Duvall) - 3.0
    DH (Camargo/Riley/Flowers) - 0.5

    SP1 (Folty) - 2.7
    SP2 (Newk) - 1.7
    SP3 (Gausman) - 2.1
    SP4 (Teheran) - 0.6
    SP5 (Touki/Soroka/Fried/Others) - 2.1

    BP (Viz/Minter/O'Day/Others) - 2.4

    Total - 37.3 + 48 = 85.3 wins.

    While I'll easily take the over on Acuna's projection, I don't disagree with much of that.

    I see the Braves as an ~86 win team as currently constructed, with upside for more if the young pitchers like Soroka, Touki and Wright make improvements and push guys like Teheran and Newk out of the rotation.
    In other words not good enough to really win anything, not bad enough to blow it up and start over. Pittsburgh

  2. #22
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    26,261
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    34
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    10,000
    Thanked in
    6,108 Posts
    Projecting for 85-90 wins is about the best a team with a $120m payroll can expect consistently.

    That puts a team squarely in contention every single year and maximizes attendance/revenue.

    Wanting more than that is unrealistic.

Similar Threads

  1. Heyman - Braves expected to shop veteran outfielders
    By steveAKAslick in forum 2023: Celebrating Our 10th Year Here
    Replies: 99
    Last Post: 09-23-2017, 06:36 AM
  2. Where are we on the expected win curve?
    By nsacpi in forum 2023: Celebrating Our 10th Year Here
    Replies: 60
    Last Post: 10-03-2016, 05:09 PM
  3. Touki's Curve
    By striker42 in forum 2023: Celebrating Our 10th Year Here
    Replies: 14
    Last Post: 08-05-2016, 04:19 PM
  4. Richard Justice: Braves Rebuilding Faster Than Expected
    By CrimsonCowboy in forum 2023: Celebrating Our 10th Year Here
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 03-23-2016, 12:43 PM
  5. Expected September Call-Ups
    By clvclv in forum 2023: Celebrating Our 10th Year Here
    Replies: 13
    Last Post: 08-22-2015, 04:19 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •