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Thread: Where are the 2019 Braves on the Expected Win Curve

  1. #1
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Where are the 2019 Braves on the Expected Win Curve

    The starting point is the 48 wins that define a team of replacement level players. Let's add from there

    Bench and pen: 5 wins (53 running total)

    Catcher: 2 wins (55)

    First: 5 wins (60)

    Second: 4 wins (64)

    Short: 2 wins (66)

    Third: 4 wins (70)

    Left: 5 wins (75)

    Center: 3 wins (78)

    Right: 2 wins (80)

    Folty: 4 wins (84)

    Gausman: 3 wins (87)

    Newcomb: 2 wins (89)

    Teheran: 1 win (90)

    Fifth starter: 1 win (91)
    Last edited by nsacpi; 12-24-2018 at 10:58 AM.
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    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
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    We aren't really going to pitch Julio are we? Not with Soroka/Fried/Touki/Wright all available?

    I don't know what its going to take to finally give Fried a job. He could easily be a 2 win guy with upside for much more (4).
    Warm feelings guy!

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    Some tehteh hot takes on pitchers...

    Fried ermergs as a potential TOR canddiate 11/3/2017

    He (Allard) will be top 20 by the ed of next season 2/5/2018

    sentiment will change quickly this season....Newcomb will be providing his prime performance 2/7/2018

    Soroka will be replacing Folty in July 4/23/2018
    Last edited by Enscheff; 12-25-2018 at 02:39 PM.

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    Anytime Now Frankie...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Fried ermergs as a potential TOR canddiate 11/3/2017

    He (Allard) will be top 20 by the ed of next season 2/5/2018

    sentiment will change quickly this season....Newcomb will be providing his prime performance 2/7/2018

    Soroka will be replacing Folty in July 4/23/2018
    Welcome back thethe. You should remember that this type of optimism is not well received by some here!

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    Very Flirtatious, but Doubts What Love Is. jpx7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    We aren't really going to pitch Julio are we? Not with Soroka/Fried/Touki/Wright all available?

    I don't know what its going to take to finally give Fried a job. He could easily be a 2 win guy with upside for much more (4).
    Think Oakland could be in play as a Julion destination.
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    Think Oakland could be in play as a Julion destination.
    Yeah - I mean he is useful for a team that is searching for a fifth starter so hopefully what you say comes to pass.

    I'm just excited to see Folty/Gausman/Newk/Touki/Fried

    Why should the Braves be hesitant about that with Soroka/Gohara/Wright/Weigel/Anderson real close in the AAA rotation?

    Teheran honestly is hurting the team by not letting one of our more talented guys get a shot now.
    Warm feelings guy!

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    Quote Originally Posted by mfree80 View Post
    Welcome back thethe. You should remember that this type of optimism is not well received by some here!
    People choose to perceive life in many ways. I don't begrudge someone for holding these types of counter views.

    Thanks mfree!
    Warm feelings guy!

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    Connoisseur of Minors zitothebrave's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    We aren't really going to pitch Julio are we? Not with Soroka/Fried/Touki/Wright all available?

    I don't know what its going to take to finally give Fried a job. He could easily be a 2 win guy with upside for much more (4).
    If Fried can stay healthy and keep his K rate up (since it seems his BB Rate won't drop enough) He should be a solid starter.But staying healthy is a big if
    AJ does all the other things just as well if not better than Mac - zbhargrove

    I don't think Nolan Ryan should be a poster child for mechanics - SAV

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by zitothebrave View Post
    If Fried can stay healthy and keep his K rate up (since it seems his BB Rate won't drop enough) He should be a solid starter.But staying healthy is a big if
    I still want to see what Fried can do as a major league starter. Give him half a season (15 starts) to show what he's got. If it doesn't work out the pen beckons.

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    Thethe was wrong before. Iíve been wring too.

    The point he made about Julio is valid, he shouldnít pitch for us. We have 5 options who can provide the same value for a minimum salary with more upside. Julio is our third highest paid player.

    With teams like the pads and Oakland going for it there should be a match out there.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mfree80 View Post
    Welcome back thethe. You should remember that this type of optimism is not well received by some here!
    I just think itís funny the one thing he found to be pessimistic about was Folty in his breakout, all star year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Southcack77 View Post
    I just think itís funny the one thing he found to be pessimistic about was Folty in his breakout, all star year.
    Maybe he will explain to us once again how Newk has better control in the zone than Folty despite his higher BB/9....and how Newk is the better pitcher.

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    Fried and Gohora will likely both be bullpen peices until Fried can prove to stay healthy (blisters), and Gohora ( health and stamina). Wilson (who I love), Wright and Weigel should carve people up once they get used to the role.

    Obviously all these guys probably wonít be here, but any of those guys would be great bullpen peices AND any could also start.

    Soroka and Touki will be given the most rotation looks.

    I really would like to see more starts from the other guys and I would move Newk before some of the others...I doubt it happens.

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    Secretary of Statistics AerchAngel's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Maybe he will explain to us once again how Newk has better control in the zone than Folty despite his higher BB/9....and how Newk is the better pitcher.
    LMAO

    I like Thethe but he jump the shark on this one.

    Folty is our ACE but he is not quite there yet but still young, maybe he figure it out.

    We have legitimately 10 starters on this team that can start on any team in the Majors (even as a 5), but you need to give the young one's a chance. I think we should do it.

    These guys CAN be really really good, but they need chances just like Smoltz, Avery, Glavine, Millwood, even Nied and McMurtry was not bad pitchers, just a bad time, as we know the Mad Dog was just epic. I might have missed a couple in the early 90's like Neagle but he was with another team before he came here.

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    Itís sad...there just isnít enough playing time for all of them. They all pretty much deserve it.

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