ZiPs has finally been rolled into the FG projections (which are 50/50 Steamer and ZiPs), and the Braves got a decent bump overall.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagra...zips-are-live/

The NL East is currently projected to shake out as follows:

Nats - 90 wins
Mets - 84 wins
Braves - 84 wins
Phils - 83 wins
Marlins - 62 wins

I think this pretty much fits the consensus that the Mets/Braves/Phils will be slugging it out for a WC spot.

If the Phils get Harper (5 wins) they will jump to ~87 wins. They could also add wins by signing guys like Keuchel and/or Kimbrel.

The Braves need Folty/Gaus/Soroka to be healthy and productive for the bulk of 2019 if they hope to have any shot at contention.