GDT: 4/3 Cubs @ Braves

[The Chosen One]

Because the correct lineup vs RHP doesn’t change based on 5 games.

Albies probably will end up being the 1-2 hitter long term, but that decision isn’t reached after 5 games.

I'm aware of that. But as streaky as Albies can be go with the hot hand. Get that man more ABs while he's feeling confident. Do what you can to secure the sweep.

[nsacpi]

I'm aware of that. But as streaky as Albies can be go with the hot hand. Get that man more ABs while he's feeling confident. Do what you can to secure the sweep.

The hot hand theory is what leads to Constanza being played over Heyward.

[Enscheff]

I'm aware of that. But as streaky as Albies can be go with the hot hand. Get that man more ABs while he's feeling confident. Do what you can to secure the sweep.

The one time you successfully predict when Albies is about to stop having the "hot hand" is the moment the Braves should give you the authority to decide when he has the "hot hand" and bats lead off.

As a test, we will document when you say Albies is about to stop having the "hot hand" this time.

[Tapate50]

Ensheff has the “hot hand” but it doesn’t have anything to do with “leading” off.

[The Chosen One]

The hot hand theory is what leads to Constanza being played over Heyward.

I think Albies is slightly more talented than Constanza.

And anyways, how dare you speak of the Talisman that way.

[The Chosen One]

The one time you successfully predict when Albies is about to stop having the "hot hand" is the moment the Braves should give you the authority to decide when he has the "hot hand" and bats lead off.

As a test, we will document when you say Albies is about to stop having the "hot hand" this time.

I don't remember you being very pro-Ender leadoff last year.

[Enscheff]

I don't remember you being very pro-Ender leadoff last year.

I think he’s acceptable vs RHP based on the data available to start the season. If that was the correct decision a week ago, it’s still the correct decision.

As that data grows, especially as we see how Albies adjusts, the conclusion may change. The data from 20 PAs isn’t enough to draw another conclusion though.

If someone said, “Albies is going to be the lead off hitter for the next 5 years, we think he is on the verge of figuring it out, so he may as well hit lead off now”, that would be a defensible argument.

When someone says, “Albies had a good game last night, so that means he is likely to have a good game tonight, and should be leading off”, that isn’t a logical argument to make.

[Braves1976]

FWIW, Ender is hitting .500 with a homer vs Darvish. Albies is only hitting .400 vs him and no homers. Very small sample sizes. :)

[The Chosen One]

I think he’s acceptable vs RHP based on the data available to start the season. If that was the correct decision a week ago, it’s still the correct decision.

As that data grows, especially as we see how Albies adjusts, the conclusion may change. The data from 20 PAs isn’t enough to draw another conclusion though.

If someone said, “Albies is going to be the lead off hitter for the next 5 years, we think he is on the verge of figuring it out, so he may as well hit lead off now”, that would be a defensible argument.

When someone says, “Albies had a good game last night, so that means he is likely to have a good game tonight, and should be leading off”, that isn’t a logical argument to make.

Next you're going to tell me windmill noise causes cancer.

[nsacpi]

I think Albies is slightly more talented than Constanza.

And anyways, how dare you speak of the Talisman that way.

Constanza had a lot of talent to go with his hot hand and bat sniffing.

[Braves1976]

Constanza had a lot of talent to go with his hot hand and bat sniffing.

He didn't just sniff his bat, he also licked it.