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Thread: 2019 Braves vs Phillies By the Records

  1. #21
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    Cutch 1.7 fWAR
    Bruce 1.1
    yeah...but Bruce has been on fire
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    Sabermetric Slut
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    ZIPS rest of season projections

    Bruce: 0.7 fWAR
    McCutchen: 1.8 fWAR

    Bruce has been playing well but he likely plays down to his true talent level soon.


    Fangraphs (using Zips and other methods) has the Braves odds to win the division at 41% compared to the Phillies 27% after adding Kuechel. If you look purely at the ZIPS projections the Braves are at 60% to win the division with the Phillies at 17% (Nats are actually 3rd at 18%). Lots of season to go still but even with the Phillies ahead in the standings the Braves are in a good position to win this thing.

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    Cutch 1.7 fWAR
    Bruce 1.1
    Bruce has been amazing lately
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    Bruce has been amazing lately
    yea he almost won one game all by himself and led them to both wins.

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    I did mention Bruce as possible trade target for LF...he was a decent candidate for bounce back and the salary wasn’t crazy.

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    Time for the update


    Phillies record: 38-30. (1.5 GB of Braves; tied with Cubs for 1st WC spot)

    Vs east : 15-9
    Vs central : 11-9
    Vs west : 7-9
    Vs AL : 5-3

    Vs RHP : 32-19
    Vs LHP : 6-11

    Braves 2019 record: 40-29

    Vs east: 10-8
    Vs central : 15-7
    Vs west : 11-12
    Vs AL : 4-2

    Vs RHP: 29-24
    Vs LHP: 11-5
    Mark Bowman's reports carry a lot of gravity

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    we have a better record against the marlins... they have a better record against everyone else
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Phillies overall record : 39-34 (4 GB)

    Vs east : 16-13
    Vs central : 11-9
    Vs west : 7-9
    Vs AL : 5-3

    Vs RHP: 32-21
    Vs LHP: 7-13

    Braves overall record : 44-31

    Vs east: 14-10
    Vs central : 15-7
    Vs west : 11-12
    Vs AL : 4-2

    Vs RHP : 32-26
    Vs LHP : 12-5
    Mark Bowman's reports carry a lot of gravity

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    surprising the fillies have been so bad against LHP
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    surprising the fillies have been so bad against LHP
    Makes the Keuchel signing that much better and I’m sure played at least a small part in his signing.
    Mark Bowman's reports carry a lot of gravity

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    Phillies final games before the break:

    3 vs Miami
    4 vs Mets
    3 @ Miami
    3 @ Atlanta
    3 @ Mets


    Braves final games before break:

    3 @ Nationals
    4 @ Cubs
    3 @ Mets
    3 vs Phillies
    3 vs Marlins
    Mark Bowman's reports carry a lot of gravity

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    surprising the fillies have been so bad against LHP
    It's weird because they've actually hit LHP significantly better than RHP this year, but you would think it would be the opposite with most of their best hitters hitting substantially worse vs LHP over their careers.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Carp View Post
    It's weird because they've actually hit LHP significantly better than RHP this year, but you would think it would be the opposite with most of their best hitters hitting substantially worse vs LHP over their careers.
    so maybe the won loss record is misleading...given their lineup I thought it was odd
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    so maybe the won loss record is misleading...given their lineup I thought it was odd
    Or may be their production vs LHP is misleading. Either way, those numbers don't really gel. I'd expect the production vs LHP to go down but the production vs RHP to go up.

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    Update as of 7/1

    Phillies overall record is 44-40 (5.5 GB of Atl)

    Vs east : 21-19 (5-7 vs Marlins)
    Vs central: 11-9
    Vs west: 7-9
    Vs AL: 5-3

    Vs RHP: 35-27
    Vs LHP: 9-13

    Braves overall record is 50-35

    Vs east: 18-12 (8-1 vs the Marlins)
    Vs central : 17-9
    Vs west: 11-12
    Vs AL: 4-2

    Vs RHP: 37-29
    Vs LHP: 13-6

    Obviously with a 5.5 game lead over the Phillies headed into this series at home, this is a big series for us. If we are swept they are 2.5 back, if we sweep they are 8.5 back...the Phillies pushed up Nova to start tonight vs DK
    Mark Bowman's reports carry a lot of gravity

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    Hope our players vote the Marlins a playoff share. It would be ungracious not to.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Big series... they're using their best starters. I think we match up ok though if Wilson doesn't combust

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    Big series... they're using their best starters. I think we match up ok though if Wilson doesn't combust
    Do they have "best" starters? lol

    Yeah, big series. We have to take at least 2 of 3.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    yeah...but Bruce has been on fire
    79 WRC+ since you made this post

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    79 WRC+ since you made this post
    glad to see someone appreciates my work around here
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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