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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    So, say 1.5 WAR the rest of this year plus next; at ~$7.5-million salary, that’d be SV of $6m if you say $9m/WAR, or SV of $4.5m if you say $8m/WAR. At 45 FV, Wentz is estimated at $3m FV; toss in Demeritte, and it seems pretty fair—a “win”, even, if you factor Contenders’ Premium.
    For me Wentz is more of a 45+. Applying contender's premium to an expected .5 WAR this year doesn't move the needle much. Even the contender's premium, Greene's expected surplus value is not quite 1 WAR.
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    Very Flirtatious, but Doubts What Love Is. jpx7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    For me Wentz is more of a 45+. Applying contender's premium to an expected .5 WAR this year doesn't move the needle much. Even the contender's premium, Greene's expected surplus value is not quite 1 WAR.
    Yea, I just don’t see Wentz as a 45+, but even still it seems like a pretty even deal to me.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    For me Wentz is more of a 45+. Applying contender's premium to an expected .5 WAR this year doesn't move the needle much. Even the contender's premium, Greene's expected surplus value is not quite 1 WAR.
    Even at 45+ that would be 6 million in value. I don't see how this is an overpay.

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    How the **** are we getting Dee Gordon for Ozzie if we trade TD?!?!?!
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    Wentz is a back end starter or possibly good reliever. I would be far more upset if we were giving up Cruz, Ynoa, or Muller. Wentz doesnt have the upside of a lot of our other prospects. Good luck with Wentz for 200 innings a year. He isnt going to hold up for that.
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    Trade announced by the club with just Wentz and TD. I can’t seem to remember, but I don’t recall teams leaving out a PBTNL in the releases traditionally.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mqt View Post
    Trade announced by the club with just Wentz and TD. I can’t seem to remember, but I don’t recall teams leaving out a PBTNL in the releases traditionally.
    Good—I hope that’s the case. As it is, Kiley called the return “a little light” on Detroit’s end, which seems to boost the notion that this was a fair-value deal.
    Last edited by jpx7; 07-31-2019 at 06:00 PM.
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    Good—I hope that’s the case. As it is, Kilroy called the return “a little light” on Detroit’s end, which seems to boost the notion that this was a fair-value deal.
    I thought it would be a little more than Wentz, but this is a good deal for AA if its just him and TD.

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