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Thread: Braves Sign Adeiny Hechavarría; Camargo and Duvall Optioned; Bryse Wilson Recalled

  1. #81
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    doesn't have to be anything fancy...for example

    Drew Waters: very unlikely he can sustain the .400 plus BABIP he has put up in AA and AAA. Good chance he will be a high BABIP hitter in the majors which means .330-.340. It is unlikely he would improve on his walk and strikeout rates if promoted to the majors this year. So we are talking about a 5% BB rate and a +30% K rate. Unlike Riley, Waters has not shown much power in the minors this year. It would be unrealistic to project a power surge if he was promoted to the majors this year.
    Compare those to what we can expect from Ortega, LaMarre, Duvall, etc. I assume that the minimum expectation for Pache and Waters would be similar. If the expected production is nearly the same, it would make sense to go with the player with the most upside. Factor in defense with Pache, and the fact that the roster as constructed doesn’t have a true CF, and the decision tilts even more in favor of going young.Service time shouldn’t be a consideration for a team with a legitimate chance at a decent playoff run.

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DirkPiggler View Post
    Compare those to what we can expect from Ortega, LaMarre, Duvall, etc. I assume that the minimum expectation for Pache and Waters would be similar. If the expected production is nearly the same, it would make sense to go with the player with the most upside. Factor in defense with Pache, and the fact that the roster as constructed doesn’t have a true CF, and the decision tilts even more in favor of going young.Service time shouldn’t be a consideration for a team with a legitimate chance at a decent playoff run.
    With the others I would apply a 10-15% haircut to their AAA numbers. The results are far from favoring Pache and Waters, even when accounting for defense.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by Slippyjms View Post

    I’d go for giving the kids a chance and re-evaluate when and if we get Markakis and Ender back. I’d like to know if at least one of them can play a productive CF for us this year though in the event we don’t get Ender back.
    You're gonna make this determination on what kind of sample size?
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    You're gonna make this determination on what kind of sample size?
    The maximum MLB sample size we can. It’s not a long term judgement as none of this is ideal but worst case we can always change course at the end of the season if needed.

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    I'd be interested to see someone take a stab at analyzing what combination might work best.

    key words: analyzing, analysis
    That’s what I pay such high membership dues here for...
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    Duvy is back!


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    Quote Originally Posted by Freshmaker View Post
    Duvy is back!

    another hot streak sure to follow...Duvy Duvy Doo has always been streaky
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    I would rather see Hamilton signed than anyone else brought up from the minors. I've never liked the idea of Acuna being the only CF option on the roster. I wouldn't expect much from Hamilton, but he can play CF and pinch run and we certainly don't need to start Pache's clock and stunt his development.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaw View Post
    I would rather see Hamilton signed than anyone else brought up from the minors. I've never liked the idea of Acuna being the only CF option on the roster. I wouldn't expect much from Hamilton, but he can play CF and pinch run and we certainly don't need to start Pache's clock and stunt his development.
    There's always Lane Adams... ;-)

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    Very Flirtatious, but Doubts What Love Is. jpx7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaw View Post
    I would rather see Hamilton signed than anyone else brought up from the minors. I've never liked the idea of Acuna being the only CF option on the roster. I wouldn't expect much from Hamilton, but he can play CF and pinch run and we certainly don't need to start Pache's clock and stunt his development.
    Hamilton is...not good. Having said that, I agree with the entirety of your post: it’d be nice to have a viable CF backup for Young Yunior, and it’d be nice to not throw Pache to the MLB fire (and fire up his clock). And there might be some gravy in the form of pinch-running.
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

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    We had a long stretch of very good baseball without a "viable" second center fielder earlier this season. Only one is needed. Hamilton would take up a bench spot and contribute little to nothing.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    I would bring up Alex Jackson for the last bench spot so we can use McCann more to pinch hit when he isnt catching.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    We had a long stretch of very good baseball without a "viable" second center fielder earlier this season. Only one is needed. Hamilton would take up a bench spot and contribute little to nothing.
    An OF who can hit would be preferable. I just don’t see any.
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

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    Oof. A bit better than expected, but out most of the rest of the season


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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    An OF who can hit would be preferable. I just don’t see any.
    I'll settle for the ones who can hit better than Hamilton.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Duvall back in Atl and hitting 5th in Sat game vs Dodgers playing LF. Culberson in RF
    Oh! I have slipped the surly bonds of Earth
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    Quote Originally Posted by salmagundy View Post
    Duvall back in Atl and hitting 5th in Sat game vs Dodgers playing LF. Culberson in RF
    Looks like @nsacpi got his Reverse Splits answer (and it isn’t the correct one).
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

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    Quote Originally Posted by Freshmaker View Post
    Oof. A bit better than expected, but out most of the rest of the season

    Really hoping Swanson is back by the end of this month, and that Markakis and Inciarte can make the postseason roster (preferably with at least a week in September to round back into form).
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    Really hoping Swanson is back by the end of this month, and that Markakis and Inciarte can make the postseason roster (preferably with at least a week in September to round back into form).
    That's going to be key...whether they can get in 5 or 6 games at the end of the season.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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  25. #100
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    Looks like @nsacpi got his Reverse Splits answer (and it isn’t the correct one).
    Twit can’t find a land line to plug his modem up so he can’t research really good.
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