Originally Posted by
Enscheff
A prospect doesn't have to project to being Mike Trout to be an 80 grade prospect. All they have to do is project to be worth something like $100M-$120M of surplus value over their 6-7 years of team control. For a prospect to be worth that much, they probably have to be projected to produce something like ~20 WAR over those 6-7 years (assuming $50M-$60M in earnings over those seasons).
Guys like Griffey, ARod, and Andrew were probably 80 grade prospects because I'm confident they would have been projected to produce ~20 WAR over their 6-7 years of control. That's what FG is saying about Wander. They are NOT saying he is the next Mike Trout.
If anything, I would argue there should be 1-2 80 grade prospects almost every year...just like there are 1-2 80 grade everythings every year.
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