Meta - what do you think to yourself on this issue knowing that you were dead wrong and a dumb/uncivilized/maga supporting person was right?
All that education and you can't think. You should request a refund.
Meta - what do you think to yourself on this issue knowing that you were dead wrong and a dumb/uncivilized/maga supporting person was right?
All that education and you can't think. You should request a refund.
Natural Immunity Croc
I foresee a breakup in your future.Originally Posted by thethe
Nope - Her father took a turn for the better once he started taking Palenquil/Z-pac.
I wonder who suggested that?
Natural Immunity Croc
I watched a 9th inning replay of a Braves 2018 game --- down 5 in 9th to Marlins and Dansby had a walk off single
Reminded me, we still have a lot of game left in this pandemic
Just sayin'
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
Yeah - The countries/states that embraced a lockdown have a low uninfected population percentage relative to their population density.
It will catch up to them in the fall while places like Sweden mostly likely won't have a second wave
Natural Immunity Croc
Yet another poster outwardly hoping for more pain
Wht is New York still closed?
Can the party of science start using data and evidence to make decisions?
They stopped caring about the data once it showed this wasn't as bad as feared.
Its been clear since the end of March but it became a Trump adjacent issue.
Natural Immunity Croc
This thread is definitely going dark
Too much positive news.
What a damn shame you guys were hoping for death.
Natural Immunity Croc
Nobody tell carp
Sweden seroprevalence 5%
Source please
Natural Immunity Croc
Stockholm 7%.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...-idUSKBN22W2YC
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
You're still making the same mistakes.
You're clearly intelligent. Seems to be bad faith at play here
Natural Immunity Croc
To go through the by now familiar math.
Sweden population 10 million.
Seroprevalence rate late April 5%.
People infected late April 500,000.
Official COVID deaths at the end of April: 2,700.
Excess mortality data suggests it needs to be adjusted up by about a third. This gets you to 3,600 COVID deaths by end of April.
Gives you an IFR of 3,600 divided by 500,000 or 0.7%.
Which jives with what we see elsewhere.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
Man - Still using the wrong assumption on infection rate as of that day based on antibody testing.
Why?
Natural Immunity Croc
I do expect the IFR to tick down (in Sweden and elsewhere) going forward. Doctors are learning. Nursing homes are learning. Governments are learning. Best practices are improving. But I don't think it goes from .7 to .01. It will move from .7% in the first half of this year to around .5% in the second half.
Last edited by nsacpi; 05-21-2020 at 10:05 AM.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
I'm assuming a cumulative infection rate from the seroprevalence rate. You can play with the lags some if you want. Lags are a thing. But they don't get you out of the reality that in Sweden and pretty much everywhere else there are a yuge number of people yet to be infected.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
Stockholm at 7% seroprevalence in late April is a fact.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
That doesn't mean that total infection rate for the region is 7% and you know that.
Natural Immunity Croc
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