The Coronavirus, not the beer

[nsacpi]

AZ reporting 2,392 new cases today.

They didn't break 1,000 in new daily cases until June 2.

ICU beds in use, patients on ventilators, ER visits all at record highs.

[thethe]

ok...I also wonder about what the graph shows...death rate on cases closed...is it a cumulative number...a daily number...what do the raw death and recovery numbers look like

Looks like a CFR rate to me.

[nsacpi]

Looks like a CFR rate to me.

read the tweet

[thethe]

read the tweet

A case fatality rate should be derived based on closed cases or else the number is irrelevant and highly misleading.

[nsacpi]

[sturg33]

Death contine to be near pandemic lows, right?

[thethe]

Death contine to be near pandemic lows, right?

Spread appropriately managed was ALWAYS the only approach.

Peoplr freaking out about cases are the ones that expected everyone to stay home till a vaccine was produced that may not even work.

[nsacpi]

[nsacpi]

Researchers in England say they have the first evidence that a drug can improve COVID-19 survival: A cheap, widely available steroid reduced deaths by up to one third in severely ill hospitalized patients.

The results were announced Tuesday and the British government immediately authorized the drug's use across the United Kingdom for coronavirus patients like those who did well in the study. Researchers said they would publish results soon in a medical journal, and several independent experts said it's important to see details to know how much of a difference the drug, dexamethasone, might make and for whom.

But “bottom line is, good news,” said the United States’ top infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci. “This is a significant improvement in the available therapeutic options that we have.”

The coronavirus outbreak has killed more than 438,000 people worldwide since it began late last year in China.

The study, led by the University of Oxford, was a large, strict test that randomly assigned 2,104 patients to get the drug and compared them with 4,321 patients getting only usual care.

The drug was given either orally or through an IV for 10 days. After four weeks, it had reduced deaths by 35% in patients who needed treatment with breathing machines and by 20% in those only needing supplemental oxygen. It did not appear to help less ill patients.

https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/...m-15343066.php

treatments are going to gradually improve...an argument for buying time (ie delaying deaths)

[nsacpi]

[nsacpi]

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/...2_w#contribAff

just wanted to put this one up since my son spent about a month seconded to this project

[nsacpi]

Oregon is going to be an interesting state to watch. Their numbers have been deteriorating (though nothing like Arizona, Alabama and Florida). I don't think their governor will just sit back and let that run its course. Newsome might have to make some tough calls too in California.

[Runnin]

Researchers in England say they have the first evidence that a drug can improve COVID-19 survival: A cheap, widely available steroid reduced deaths by up to one third in severely ill hospitalized patients.

The results were announced Tuesday and the British government immediately authorized the drug's use across the United Kingdom for coronavirus patients like those who did well in the study. Researchers said they would publish results soon in a medical journal, and several independent experts said it's important to see details to know how much of a difference the drug, dexamethasone, might make and for whom.

But “bottom line is, good news,” said the United States’ top infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci. “This is a significant improvement in the available therapeutic options that we have.”

The coronavirus outbreak has killed more than 438,000 people worldwide since it began late last year in China.

The study, led by the University of Oxford, was a large, strict test that randomly assigned 2,104 patients to get the drug and compared them with 4,321 patients getting only usual care.

The drug was given either orally or through an IV for 10 days. After four weeks, it had reduced deaths by 35% in patients who needed treatment with breathing machines and by 20% in those only needing supplemental oxygen. It did not appear to help less ill patients.

https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/...m-15343066.php

treatments are going to gradually improve...an argument for buying time (ie delaying deaths)

I thought hydroxychoroquine was the miracle drug.

[sturg33]

Oregon is going to be an interesting state to watch. Their numbers have been deteriorating (though nothing like Arizona, Alabama and Florida). I don't think their governor will just sit back and let that run its course. Newsome might have to make some tough calls too in California.

As long as they start protesting they will be OK

[nsacpi]

I thought hydroxychoroquine was the miracle drug.

True. The others are minor miracles.

[Carp]

Nope. 50%. At least. Hell, it could be the entire state by now.

[nsacpi]

Nope. 50%. At least. Hell, it could be the entire state by now.

wall herd lags

[The Chosen One]

Nope. 50%. At least. Hell, it could be the entire state by now.

With how faulty and unreliable the antibody tests are, I wouldn't be surprised if the real number was around 88%

[nsacpi]

With how faulty and unreliable the antibody tests are, I wouldn't be surprised if the real number was around 88%

personally I think it is at 92

[nsacpi]

Oh boy...not so fast on the 21% number.

If the lag is true you could be looking at 30-35

bump...from april 25