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Thread: The Coronavirus, not the beer

  1. #16081
    if my thought dreams could be seen goldfly's Avatar
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    Totally lost your mind

    Sad

    And ironic I guess
    "For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

  2. #16082
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Aww the commie who said i should be dead is mad that I no longer am civil with him.

    Poor wittle baby.

    Keep us updated on all your covid news. I heard 4 masks are more effective than 3 FYI

  3. #16083
    It's OVER 5,000! 57Brave's Avatar
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    Kyle Griffin
    @kylegriffin1
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    White House: The Biden admin will expand the pool of qualified

    professionals able to administer shots to include: Dentists, advanced

    and intermediate EMTs, Midwives, Optometrists, Paramedics,

    Physician Assistants, Podiatrists, Respiratory Therapists,

    and Veterinarians.
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

  4. #16084
    if my thought dreams could be seen goldfly's Avatar
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    Lol, I don’t care if you're civil with me

    You really get hung up on the dumbest thing and project that towards anyone that disagrees with you

    It’s fascinating in a pathetic way
    "For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

  5. #16085
    Connoisseur of Minors zitothebrave's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    If I get the virus, then I will do my part by not going around coughing on people. I'm a man of the people tulu
    Moron, you do realize that first you're contagious before symptoms show. Studies think you're most contagious 24-48 before showing symptoms.

    Also you realize that morons like you not getting vaccinated can lead us to not kick this in the rear and the virus to mutate and perhaps those mutations will be able to sneak past vaccine protections.

    Of course I know that I'm talking to a literal wall. So it will fall on deaf ears.
    Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg

  6. #16086
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by zitothebrave View Post
    Moron, you do realize that first you're contagious before symptoms show. Studies think you're most contagious 24-48 before showing symptoms.

    Also you realize that morons like you not getting vaccinated can lead us to not kick this in the rear and the virus to mutate and perhaps those mutations will be able to sneak past vaccine protections.

    Of course I know that I'm talking to a literal wall. So it will fall on deaf ears.
    So you think herd immunity is the answer?

    Welcome to April, 2020.

  7. #16087
    Connoisseur of Minors zitothebrave's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    So you think herd immunity is the answer?

    Welcome to April, 2020.
    Herd immunity has always been the answer fool.

    It cannot be obtained without vaccine. See. Brazil.
    Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg

  8. #16088
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Hahahahhahahahahaha

  9. #16089
    It's OVER 5,000!
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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    So you think herd immunity is the answer?

    Welcome to April, 2020.
    You clearly don't understand how that is achieved.

    BTW, your entire argument from April-May 2020 was based on the assumption that "everyone would get it eventually so why delay the inevitable while sinking the economy."

    I literally explained it you then, that the purpose of lockdowns and other mitigation techniques was to contain the spread and to buy time until a viable treatment option or vaccine could be developed that would drastically reduce the death rate. Now 10 months later as the percentage of those vaccinated with at least 1 dose quickly approaches 20% of the population, it is overwhelmingly clear that your plan would have killed hundreds of thousands more Americans for nothing.

    But I guess saving lives is the "commie" thing to do.....
    Last edited by Carp; 03-12-2021 at 08:56 AM.

  10. The Following User Says Thank You to Carp For This Useful Post:

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  11. #16090
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Carp View Post
    You clearly don't understand how that is achieved.

    Your entire argument was based on the assumption that "everyone would get" so why delay the inevitable by sinking the economy.

    I literally explained it you then, that purpose of lockdowns and containing the spread was to buy time until a viable treatment option or vaccine could be developed that would drastically reduce the death rate. Now 8 months later as the percentage of those vaccinated with at least 1 dose quickly approaches 20% of the population, it is overwhelmingly clear that your plan would have killed hundreds of thousands more Americans for nothing.
    Even if your number of hundreds of thousands which is highly unlikely were true that’s just one side of the ledger.

    You guys never seem to understand that basic concept and have tunnel vision because you were instructed to so that the oranage man would lose.
    Natural Immunity Croc

  12. #16091
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Carp View Post
    You clearly don't understand how that is achieved.

    BTW, your entire argument from April-May 2020 was based on the assumption that "everyone would get it eventually so why delay the inevitable while sinking the economy."

    I literally explained it you then, that purpose of lockdowns and containing the spread was to buy time until a viable treatment option or vaccine could be developed that would drastically reduce the death rate. Now 10 months later as the percentage of those vaccinated with at least 1 dose quickly approaches 20% of the population, it is overwhelmingly clear that your plan would have killed hundreds of thousands more Americans for nothing.
    The states who locked down the hardest had the worst outcomes.

  13. #16092
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    The states who locked down the hardest had the worst outcomes.
    Inconvenient truths. Never mind reality.

    Orange man bad is all you need to know.

    Ignore a whole generation of school aged kids that we ****ed over.

    Ignore hundreds of millions worldwide in poverty.

    We saved some people that didn’t care enough about themselves to live a healthier life.

    These people are moronic.
    Natural Immunity Croc

  14. #16093
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    By the way, two of my friends at a bachelor party tested positive for the antibodies. I've been to three weddings, 2 bachelor parties, gyms, flown to Buffalo 10 times, flown to Oregon, eat out at local restaurants every chance im allowed to, etc etc etc. In other words, I'm quite certain I've been exposed to the virus many many times and maybe I'm the lucky one who remained asymptomatic after catching it.

    Glad i didnt spend 2020 hiding in my basement.

    (This is the part where the sheep call me a superspreader!)

  15. #16094
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    It is true that states and other jurisdictions that locked down the hardest had the worst outcomes.

    A little knowledge about causal inference can go a long way. Here is a tutorial:

    https://delphi.cmu.edu/blog/2021/01/...-and-covid-19/

    cliff notes summary: Estimating causal effects is tricky. We all know that “correlation isn’t causation.” For example, mask usage and cases could both increase over time. But that doesn’t mean that masks cause more cases to occur. Activation of “Buckle your seatbelt” signs on airplanes is correlated with turbulence. But activating the sign does not cause turbulence.

    This btw is why "natural experiments" where all but one variables are kept under control are useful for inferring efficacy. Hence my fondness for the North Dakota/South Dakota mask mandate experiment, and the experiment involving 3 similar neighboring Arizona counties, one with a mask mandate and two without. And of course the Sweden/Scandinavian neighbors experiment.
    Last edited by nsacpi; 03-12-2021 at 09:13 AM.
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

  16. #16095
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    It is true that states and other jurisdictions that locked down the hardest had the worst outcomes.

    A little knowledge about causal inference can go a long way. Here is a tutorial:

    https://delphi.cmu.edu/blog/2021/01/...-and-covid-19/

    cliff notes summary: Estimating causal effects is tricky. We all know that “correlation isn’t causation.” For example, mask usage and cases could both increase over time. But that doesn’t mean that masks cause more cases to occur. Activation of “Buckle your seatbelt” signs on airplanes is correlated with turbulence. But activating the sign does not cause turbulence.

    This btw is why "natural experiments" where all but one variables are kept under control are useful for inferring efficacy. Hence my fondness for the North Dakota/South Dakota mask mandate experiment, and the experiment involving 3 similar neighboring Arizona counties, one with a mask mandate and two without.
    You can never control all but one variable.

    You should understand that clearly.
    Natural Immunity Croc

  17. #16096
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    You can never control all but one variable.

    You should understand that clearly.
    you're right...none of the examples i cite are dispositive...it's pretty rare in a situation this complicated to find an experiment that can settle a question like this...the only way to do it is to gather an enormous amount of data from many jurisdictions and do a multivariate analysis...both the data gathering and the statistical analysis are heavy lifts
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

  18. #16097
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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  19. #16098
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    I remember when the sheep called Trump a wannabe dictator

  20. #16099
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    you're right...none of the examples i cite are dispositive...it's pretty rare in a situation this complicated to find an experiment that can settle a question like this...the only way to do it is to gather an enormous amount of data from many jurisdictions and do a multivariate analysis...both the data gathering and the statistical analysis are heavy lifts
    That’s why I mostly agree with your stance of causal inference. My only rebuttal to that would be if masks were a tremendous factor in preventing spread that even with many other variables we should see stark differences in results.

    I think it has an impact when symptomatic hosts wear them and I’ve been consistent with that approach from day 1. I just don’t think it has any menaginful prevention factor for others.
    Last edited by thethe; 03-12-2021 at 09:41 AM.
    Natural Immunity Croc

  21. #16100
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    Even if your number of hundreds of thousands which is highly unlikely were true that’s just one side of the ledger.

    You guys never seem to understand that basic concept and have tunnel vision because you were instructed to so that the oranage man would lose.
    Notice how this is always ignored.
    Natural Immunity Croc

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