The Coronavirus, not the beer

[The Chosen One]

hopefully today's surge in deaths is an outlier

that Campaign rally speech that was the state of the union address feels like an awful awful long time ago.

[sturg33]

Crazy thing is, so far, this event that the firefighters are trying to blame Trump on, has definitively been a huge bump in his reelection odds

[thethe]

And the place of the country that is having the most issues is one that's leaders actively engaged their citizens to go out and brace crowded situations.

Convenient to now blame this on Trump.

[thethe]

Hope you all find some time to watch tucker's monologue from ttonight. CCP needs to pay for what they've done.

[sturg33]

Hope you all find some time to watch tucker's monologue from ttonight. CCP needs to pay for what they've done.

I remember when the firefighters were laughing about red state votes dying bc they wouldnt listen

[sturg33]

Frankly, a reasonable point. Letting the state dictate our lives in exchange for poultry checks reminds me that liberty is the best course

[Krgrecw]

Hope you all find some time to watch tucker's monologue from ttonight. CCP needs to pay for what they've done.

What would you do? Remember the response would have to big enough that China respects The US and walks away. No little sanctions or kicking ambassadors out

[Metaphysicist]

Letting the state dictate our lives in exchange for poultry checks

[sturg33]

Coupons for local rotisserie chickens.

Where is the confusion

[Metaphysicist]

I have not received my coupon. F'ing de Blasio holding out on me again.

[sturg33]

I have not received my coupon. F'ing de Blasio holding out on me again.

BDB has known to be incompetent. I'm chowing down on a lemon pepper chicken now (but not really, but maybe?)

[chop2chip]

it might be that social distancing is reducing flu deaths

Looking forward to a NYT opinion article next year this time on this particular association.

[sturg33]

it might be that social distancing is reducing flu deaths

Could be. I'll be curious to see if we have a worldwide spike in illness related deaths this year.

[Metaphysicist]

Thought experiment re: death rates.

Think of a number for what percentage of NYC you personally think has been infected and had the virus completely run its course.

We have no idea what the actual number is, but here are the current death rates for that various percentages:

50%: .03%
25%: .05%
10%: .13%
5%: .3%
1%: 1.3%
0.5%: 2.6%

So if the virus has already infected and cycled through only 10% or less of NYC, then we're surpassing thethe's .1% death rate projection. Higher than that and his numbers are more on track.

[chop2chip]

Thought experiment re: death rates.

Think of a number for what percentage of NYC you personally think has been infected and had the virus completely run its course.

We have no idea what the actual number is, but here are the current death rates for that various percentages:

50%: .03%
25%: .05%
10%: .13%
5%: .3%
1%: 1.3%
0.5%: 2.6%

So if the virus has already infected and cycled through only 10% or less of NYC, then we're surpassing thethe's .1% death rate projection. Higher than that and his numbers are more on track.

Has someone released a total deaths projection for NYC yet? Whatever that number is seems low

[goldfly]

Just not true and another in a long list of lies

[goldfly]

Thinking that the govt is infringing on your rights by making people stay in during a pandemic is why I thankfully do not embrace libertarianism really anymore

Making that argument in the middle of a pandemic and arguing your stance in a vacuum with no regard to reality is just absurd and should be laughed at. Which is what happens to that viewpoint most of the time.

I’ll remember this when I see you try to claim to be pro life though lol

[cajunrevenge]

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/03/...ical-supplies/




Trump - why arent the states doing more for themselves




Also Trump - nice supplies you got there. Those are mine now.

[Metaphysicist]

Has someone released a total deaths projection for NYC yet? Whatever that number is seems low

I haven't seen a specific projection, but the % increase in daily deaths in NY State is actually slightly higher than where Italy was at the same number of deaths. NY was quicker to go into "shutdown mode" so hopeful it won't be as bad, but it is still likely to be awful.

Italy After 500 deaths

2020-03-10 ​​​ 631(+36%)
2020-03-11 ​​​ 827(+31%)
2020-03-12 ​​​ 1,016(+23%)
2020-03-13 ​​​ 1,266(+25%)
2020-03-14 ​​​ 1,441(+14%)



New York State After 500 Deaths

2020-03-27 ​​ 519(+34.8%)
2020-03-28 ​​ 728(+40.3%)
2020-03-29 ​​ 965(+32.6%)
2020-03-30 ​​ 1,218(+26.2%)
2020-03-31 ​​ 1,550(+27.3%)

[Runnin]

The Council of Economic Advisers September 2019 -- Mitigating the Impact of Pandemic Influenza through Vaccine Innovation