Page 284 of 1481 FirstFirst ... 1842342742822832842852862943343847841284 ... LastLast
Results 5,661 to 5,680 of 29602

Thread: The Coronavirus, not the beer

  1. #5661
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    52,854
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,018
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,131
    Thanked in
    5,787 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by goldfly View Post
    If true. Tragic and hope they get the penalty they deserve.

    Also, there will be more violence if lawmakers continue to enforce this.

  2. #5662
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    52,854
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,018
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,131
    Thanked in
    5,787 Posts
    An interesting question to be sure.

    I do wonder the difference could be??


  3. #5663
    NL Rookie of the Year drewdat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    2,160
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    924
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    980
    Thanked in
    512 Posts
    Wrap a t-shirt around your face or maim/slaughter. IDK, tough call.

  4. #5664
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Dec 2014
    Posts
    11,433
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    795
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3,443
    Thanked in
    2,290 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    If true. Tragic and hope they get the penalty they deserve.

    Also, there will be more violence if lawmakers continue to enforce this.
    Businesses have the right to enforce patrons to wear a mask. This has nothing to do with lawmakers.

  5. #5665
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    52,854
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,018
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,131
    Thanked in
    5,787 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Businesses have the right to enforce patrons to wear a mask. This has nothing to do with lawmakers.
    I agree. It was a separate statement

  6. #5666
    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    52,854
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,018
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,131
    Thanked in
    5,787 Posts
    Looks like some of the protests are making an impact


  7. #5667
    if my thought dreams could be seen goldfly's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    21,092
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,367
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3,337
    Thanked in
    2,262 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    If true. Tragic and hope they get the penalty they deserve.

    Also, there will be more violence if lawmakers continue to enforce this.
    lol

    Nice straddle

    Shocker, that it comes nowhere near close to the same level to your usual comments of “the violent radical left” lol
    "For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

  8. #5668
    if my thought dreams could be seen goldfly's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    21,092
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,367
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3,337
    Thanked in
    2,262 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    Looks like some of the protests are making an impact


    Who says violence doesn’t solve things.

    Get some guns, intimidate and kill some folk
    "For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

  9. #5669
    if my thought dreams could be seen goldfly's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    21,092
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,367
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3,337
    Thanked in
    2,262 Posts
    "For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

  10. #5670
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    47,582
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    2,704
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    11,390
    Thanked in
    7,539 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by goldfly View Post
    This is a very odd story the Times ran. I think they are making a bit too much out of this document. It seems amateurishly put together. The graphs of the projections look odd. And there is no background information in the article about how these projections were made.

    The projection line seems to start on March 15. But it says run date for the model is May 1. Doesn't add up.
    Last edited by nsacpi; 05-04-2020 at 01:48 PM.
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

  11. #5671
    It's OVER 5,000! zbhargrove's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Bismarck, ND
    Posts
    11,273
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    773
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    2,701
    Thanked in
    1,992 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    This is a very odd story the Times ran. I think they are making a bit too much out of this document. It seems amateurishly put together. The graphs of the projections look odd. And there is no background information in the article about how these projections were made.

    The projection line seems to start on March 15. But it says run date for the model is May 1. Doesn't add up.
    Most numerical models include data well before the date they are run. Those previous numbers and trends are valuable input into the model. The more real data you can assimilate, the better the model quality. That's why real time and past observations are included in weather models.

  12. #5672
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    47,582
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    2,704
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    11,390
    Thanked in
    7,539 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by zbhargrove View Post
    Most numerical models include data well before the date they are run. Those previous numbers and trends are valuable input into the model. The more real data you can assimilate, the better the model quality. That's why real time and past observations are included in weather models.
    I'm looking at the fitted line (which might be a backcast) versus the actual data (the blue dots). I'd be a little alarmed if my fitted line were entirely below what it is trying to forecast or estimate.
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

  13. #5673
    It's OVER 5,000! zbhargrove's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Bismarck, ND
    Posts
    11,273
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    773
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    2,701
    Thanked in
    1,992 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    I'm looking at the fitted line (which might be a backcast) versus the actual data (the blue dots). I'd be a little alarmed if my fitted line were entirely below what it is trying to forecast or estimate.
    The fitted line is just a backcast, but this is directly from a leaked CDC presentation. So it is legit. And has one who works for a federal government agency, I can assure you most of our graphs are put together way too quickly and haphazardly to get the results out. We should really hire some Excel experts.

  14. #5674
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    47,582
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    2,704
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    11,390
    Thanked in
    7,539 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by zbhargrove View Post
    The fitted line is just a backcast, but this is directly from a leaked CDC presentation. So it is legit.
    I know it is an official document. I just don't find it impressive. And certainly there is a lot of missing context. Whose model is this. How does it work. etc etc

    Of course the fact it was leaked raises some questions. Why was it leaked.
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

  15. #5675
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    69,632
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,511
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5,180
    Thanked in
    3,899 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by zbhargrove View Post
    The fitted line is just a backcast, but this is directly from a leaked CDC presentation. So it is legit. And has one who works for a federal government agency, I can assure you most of our graphs are put together way too quickly and haphazardly to get the results out. We should really hire some Excel experts.
    Every company/entity needs excel experts. Its shocking how inept most people are with the one of the most influential programs ever created.

  16. #5676
    if my thought dreams could be seen goldfly's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    21,092
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,367
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3,337
    Thanked in
    2,262 Posts
    "For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman

    "When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

  17. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to goldfly For This Useful Post:

    Metaphysicist (05-04-2020), nsacpi (05-04-2020)

  18. #5677
    It's OVER 5,000! zbhargrove's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Bismarck, ND
    Posts
    11,273
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    773
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    2,701
    Thanked in
    1,992 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    Every company/entity needs excel experts. Its shocking how inept most people are with the one of the most influential programs ever created.
    You get the government to pony up. I have become quite the guru but its only because I cared to put in the time on my own to increase my skills.

  19. #5678
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    69,632
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,511
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5,180
    Thanked in
    3,899 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by zbhargrove View Post
    You get the government to pony up. I have become quite the guru but its only because I cared to put in the time on my own to increase my skills.
    A really good niche in finance is to have excel skills/accounting knowledge/SQL.

    Starting to learn some more SQL but I'm pretty good with manipulating existing queries for my purposes.

    Companies pay absurd amounts of money for this since all gloabl consolidations are managed within some sort of DB.

  20. #5679
    Not Actually Brian Hunter Metaphysicist's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    2,641
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,547
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,645
    Thanked in
    878 Posts
    I would be surprised if the CDC stat gurus are running their models in excel.

  21. #5680
    It's OVER 5,000! zbhargrove's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Bismarck, ND
    Posts
    11,273
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    773
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    2,701
    Thanked in
    1,992 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Metaphysicist View Post
    I would be surprised if the CDC stat gurus are running their models in excel.
    They aren't. Was never claiming they were. No one runs models in Excel; that's not what its for. However, they are presenting their findings in charts created in Excel considering the article with the leaked chart is quite obviously an Excel chart. Still trying to figure out where anyone said anything about a model being run in Excel.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •