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    Connoisseur of Minors zitothebrave's Avatar
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    Braves ZIPS Projections

    Were posted a few days ago. Sorry been behind on my baseball posting.

    I'll talk about the key guys and their performance vs last season.

    For hitters I'll use wOBA

    Simmons is projected to have a .305 wOBA after posting a .303 last year. Pretty fair. ZIPS expects him to walk more K more hit for less power and get more balls to land. Leading to an uptick in avg oBP and remaining pretty steady in SLG.

    Heyward is projected at .344 after posting a .344 They project his Ks to go back to their old levels and his power to as well.

    Freddie is projected at .361 vs .387. They project a small uptick in Ks but more power. The difference is their projected .333 BABIP vs his .371 last season.

    Justin like Jason projects at .344 vs his .357 last year. A fall in power and BABIP leading to the drop.

    Gattis projects at .329 vs McCann's .347 from last year. Something I think is totally fair who knows what we'll get from Gattis.

    Bossman projects at .315, not close to where we expect him to be when we signed him but way up from his .252 laqst season. They project less Ks, much more power, and a higher BABIP.

    Struggla projects at .320 a healthy improvement from .303 and not terrible projection.

    Lord BABIP is the big negative projected at .319 vs his .354 last year. They're calling for more Ks and more power but the big difference is his projected BABIP being .338 vs his BABIP last season of .394

    Some others to mention, Tommy projects to .331, basically kid can hit. Bethancourt to .291 Terds .304 Pastor .290 their pick for best hitting 4th OF? Todd Cunningham at .281 beats Schafer and Georgie.

    For pitchers we'll look at ERA-

    Medlen projects at 88, slightly up from his 84.

    Minor projects at90 slightly up from his 87

    Julio projects at 90 slightly up from his 87

    Beachy is projected at 100, better than Hudson or Maholms marks in 2013. They also have projections of Northcraft and Martin producing around the levels of Hudson and Maholm.

    Overall they're predicting a strong rotation again. Hopefully we stabilize it a little because you konw injuries will happen.

    Key pen guys

    Kimbrel is projected at 38 vs his 34

    Walden projected at 78 vs his 93

    Venters projected at 86 vs his 2012 83

    Carpenter, Avilan, Gearrin, Varvaro, all projected in the 90 range, which is a down turn for all of them but Gearrin. Zips seems to think that Shae Simmons is a better option than any of them at 88. Hard to really disagree with that though.

    Anyway they're hear for discussion.
    Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg

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