2024 Field

sturg33 said:
They're duped by fake polls?

This is a tremendous opportunity for you and thethe to make a **** ton of money since these markets are so obviously inefficient.
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It might be.

In all seriousness didn't the Biden spike prove that to you?

If they have have their own polling why don't we see it?

We don't see it because they don't have any.
 
sturg33 said:
The strategy of the left is painfully obvious. They are leaning into good vibes, hope for the future, and tackling things voters care about. This is why she's all over immigration all the sudden and inflation. It's a complete 180 from the 2020 dem convention which was the doomiest and gloomiest I've seen. Trunp was the "vibes" candidate...the left is taking that mantle from him

Trump and his team just whining about her not doing interviews, etc, isn't going to work.
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All over immigration? Hahahahah by lying about the immigration bill. Jesus you are leaning into your full unfiltered boss.
 
thethe said:
All over immigration? Hahahahah by lying about the immigration bill. Jesus you are leaning into your full unfiltered boss.
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Dude I don't actually think they give a **** but they are pretending to and their monolith voters and independents who don't pay attention until now will eat it up

"Trump stopped the bipartisan immigration bill" is going to work on the idiots
 
sturg33 said:
If I were you I'd go bet the house on Trump at even money
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Can't admit I'm correct, can you? Please show me the methodology these betting markets use and prove me wrong.

I notice when Trump is ahead in the polls you just shrug your shoulders. When Biden/Harris go ahead you start acting as they're going to win for sure.

I'm trying hard to understand you but I can't do it. Is this all about getting one over on thethe? It sure as hell seems like it.
 
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If you see the sampling you can adjust accordingly.

Can’t believe some of y’all are falling for it again.
 
Garmel said:
Can't admit I'm correct, can you? Please show me the methodology these betting markets use and prove me wrong.

I notice when Trump is ahead in the polls you just shrug your shoulders. When Biden/Harris go ahead you start acting as they're going to win for sure.

I'm trying hard to understand you but I can't do it. Is this all about getting one over on thethe? It sure as hell seems like it.
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Let me go in order.

1. I can't admit you're correct, bc I don't believe you're correct. If I did, I'd go drop a **** ton of money on Trump winning the election. If you are so sure of a terribly inefficient .market, why aren't you taking advantage?

2. Actually when trump was curb stomping Biden in the polls I acknowledged multiple times that I was wrong about him not able to win, and then expected him to win regardless. That's why I was so angry he kept shifting his policy left when I was convinced he was going to win.

3. What is there to not understand? I think Trump is a horrific candidate, and mad the GOP nominated him, and am VERY concerned he's going to lose to a Marxist. Whatever his current strategy is is not one i think will win, and he needs to adjust asap. I couldn't care less a out "getting one over on thethe"
 
thethe said:
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If you see the sampling you can adjust accordingly.

Can’t believe some of y’all are falling for it again.
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You can buy Trump shares at $0.45 on predictit. That's the best margin I can find. How much are you putting down?

Hell, I may decide to do so as well as this race seems like a true tossup and and I'm glad to take the 5 points
 
Btw, Commala is winning in 8/13 polls on RCP. Are all 8 of them oversampling D? We're they doing that when Pedo Joe was in the race?
 
sturg33 said:
Btw, Commala is winning in 8/13 polls on RCP. Are all 8 of them oversampling D? We're they doing that when Pedo Joe was in the race?
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Many of them are and I identified that in several of them when they were released. They also put their agents out during peak honeymoon and gave response bias issues they aren’t addressing.
 
sturg33 said:
Btw, Commala is winning in 8/13 polls on RCP. Are all 8 of them oversampling D? We're they doing that when Pedo Joe was in the race?
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I know at least two of them are oversampling. I haven't looked at all of them.

You don't think these left leaning polls are above juicing the results?
 
sturg33 said:
Were they not doing the same a month ago?
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I didn't look but I'm sure they were. Trump probably had a bigger lead over Biden than reported.

As thethe said which is true they tend to juice these polls for the democrat when they're months out then get more realistic as the election gets close.

Btw, the conservative polls do have Trump ahead.
 
Jokes aside, I wouldn’t get to up or down based off an August poll. I think we will have a good read after the first debate.
 
Garmel said:
I didn't look but I'm sure they were. Trump probably had a bigger lead over Biden than reported.

As thethe said which is true they tend to juice these polls for the democrat when they're months out then get more realistic as the election gets close.

Btw, the conservative polls do have Trump ahead.
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CNBC had their pollsters in the field recently and have Trump up 2 nationally.
 
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