Fangraphs Top 100 Prospects

thewupk said:
This is all pre-draft hype though. Don't worry, when scouts get a better look at him and Anderson you can expect their prospect ranking to flip.
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I think if Lewis is all pre-draft hype then the most likely course of events is that both propsects' stock take dives. Anderson is riding high on his draft stock as well. He's being treated like the 3rd overall pick even though he was selected for money reasons and really is more of a mid-first rounder type of arm and I'm not even that high on him. I think there's a good chance that Anderson is out of the top 100 by this point next year.
 
striker42 said:
I think if Lewis is all pre-draft hype then the most likely course of events is that both propsects' stock take dives. Anderson is riding high on his draft stock as well. He's being treated like the 3rd overall pick even though he was selected for money reasons and really is more of a mid-first rounder type of arm and I'm not even that high on him. I think there's a good chance that Anderson is out of the top 100 by this point next year.
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Why would you think he wouldn't perform well? The reports/results after he was drafted were just as strong.
 
nsacpi said:
No Newcomb.
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I think that's kind of ridiculous. If Gohara eventually becomes what Newcomb is now, we should be thrilled. The fact that Gohara is on that list and Newcomb isn't is a mistake. With prospects there's such a bonus for being the shiny, new guy.
 
striker42 said:
I think if Lewis is all pre-draft hype then the most likely course of events is that both propsects' stock take dives. Anderson is riding high on his draft stock as well. He's being treated like the 3rd overall pick even though he was selected for money reasons and really is more of a mid-first rounder type of arm and I'm not even that high on him. I think there's a good chance that Anderson is out of the top 100 by this point next year.
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Anderson is actually like the 10-12th ranked prospect from that draft class in most lists right now which is essentially where most people had him being picked going in.
 
striker42 said:
I think that's kind of ridiculous. If Gohara eventually becomes what Newcomb is now, we should be thrilled. The fact that Gohara is on that list and Newcomb isn't is a mistake. With prospects there's such a bonus for being the shiny, new guy.
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Yeah prospect fatigue is a real thing. At some point if you aren't making obvious progress then you start to fall behind.

Also Eric tries to make it clear at the start of the article that the gap between something like 100-150+ isn't that big at all. Newcomb didn't make his top 100 list but he gave him the same FV that he did Soroka who came in #93.
 
thethe said:
Why would you think he wouldn't perform well? The reports/results after he was drafted were just as strong.
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I'm just not tremendously high on his stuff and his potential. I see him as a good candidate to struggle to put up much more than mediocre numbers when he's at a level that challenges him at all. I think you saw that after his promotion to Danville. His K rate dove, his BB rate jumped, and his ERA leaped to a much more pedestrian range.

I see Anderson as having a ceiling of a number 3 starter but is much more likely to be a back end of the rotation arm or swing man if he ever makes it at all. There's just not a lot special there.
 
striker42 said:
I'm just not tremendously high on his stuff and his potential. I see him as a good candidate to struggle to put up much more than mediocre numbers when he's at a level that challenges him at all. I think you saw that after his promotion to Danville. His K rate dove, his BB rate jumped, and his ERA leaped to a much more pedestrian range.

I see Anderson as having a ceiling of a number 3 starter but is much more likely to be a back end of the rotation arm or swing man if he ever makes it at all. There's just not a lot special there.
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But the reports I've seen about his stuff are excellent. 4 pitch mix with good velocity seperation, movement, and control. Just haven't seen anything about spin ratesm
 
striker42 said:
I'm just not tremendously high on his stuff and his potential. I see him as a good candidate to struggle to put up much more than mediocre numbers when he's at a level that challenges him at all. I think you saw that after his promotion to Danville. His K rate dove, his BB rate jumped, and his ERA leaped to a much more pedestrian range.

I see Anderson as having a ceiling of a number 3 starter but is much more likely to be a back end of the rotation arm or swing man if he ever makes it at all. There's just not a lot special there.
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He K'd 18 in 18 IP, then K'd 18 in 21 IP at Danville.

Yes, he was not as dominant with the step up in league, but 1) you wouldn't expect that he would be 2) he still did fine and 3) there was not enough of a sample to show any kind of improvement as he adjusted to level.

..

Lewis on the other hand was a 21 year old college player who was never bumped a level due to the injury. Not quite apples.
 
sturg33 said:
Why won't we have a long term need? Ender, Acuna, and ??

BPA in baseball drafts anyway. What we don't have in the system is a legit big power bat. Lewis is that.

Missed opportunity
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Bpa isn't the only consideration in a slotting system. It's easy to fill LF with a power guy based on what we have seen this past offseason. Plus I don't think you can definitively say that Lewis is better. It's possible that he is but all of this right now is opinion.
 
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