If you remove the anti white rich frat boy blinders that a lot of people have, I think it's hard not to say that at worst both were telling the truth. I personally believe that Kavanaugh did not do it. Her story doesn't really add up to me, her one friendly witness claimed under oath that she doesn't know Kavanaugh. Ford not being able to at least give some sort of idea how she got there or how she got home is odd to me. Kavanaugh's calander was a more worthwhile piece of evidence than I thought it would be. I will say that maybe I believe Kavanaugh a bit more than most, because he's exactly the type of drunk I am. I remember absolutely everything even when I'm **** hammered, including puking and when I've done my most embarrassing things. Maybe I'm missing something, but there just doesn't seem to be anything that backs up that the party even occurred at all, other than Ford's testimony. I think it's possible it's a false memory.
I can’t, of course, definitively say that you’re wrong. But given the choice (and this is discounting the possibility that BK is lying) between her having a very specific false memory which has tormented her since adolescence, and his being ****faced enough to not remember assaulting her, I’d have trouble not leaning towards the latter.
As for her not remembering how she arrived or left the house, I don’t really see how this is particularly damning. Not remembering how she left is not at all inconsistent with the accounts of other survivors of traumatic assaults. Not remembering how she got there (35 years later) is unremarkable now, as there was nothing memorable about the day until the **** went down.
I think the weight of the calendars really boils down to one’s confirmation bias. I agree that his explanation of the calendar lent a certain measure of credibility. On the other hand, there are certainly holes in it, one of which I mentioned upthread.
On the subject of trauma and memory...sure, dicey territory. When I was a freshman in college I was witness to a pretty traumatic incident—an assault (like, battery, not sexual assault) by a student on another student from a neighboring school. It was a giant mess—big investigation, judicial board charges, expulsions, all that. I was there, I witnessed the incident, I got grilled about it extensively at the time, I had to testify to the judo board. Today, 20-odd years later, I remember the actual incident with remarkable clarity...what happened, what it sounded like, how I felt at the time. I was, I should note, ****-hammered at the time. I don’t remember my full whereabouts for the evening (I remember I went to an off-campus party and came back to campus, don’t remember who drove me or who, exactly, I was with). I have zero recollection of how, precisely, I got home afterwards. But boy do I remember 30-60 seconds of that night. I know it happened in a parking lot, but I couldn’t say which one either today or the day after it happened. But yeah, I know it happened.
I also know that what I saw doesn’t hold a candle to what a victim of sexual assault experienced. So I’m inclined to believe that Dr Ford may have an indelible memory of certain events and no recollection of others.