Official Offseason Thread

I’m not sure why folks expect more pitching help with a rotation of Soroka, Fried, Folty, Hamels, and several young options for the 5th spot already on board.

I don't know that I expect it, but I'd like to see a super cheap vet brought in to compete with the kids and provide quality depth. Kinda like Anibal from a few years ago.
 
Bowman wrote that Kris Bryant would cost Folty, Anderson, plus one of Waters or Pache. Not sure if that’s based on what he’s hearing or what he actually believes though.

Bowman is an idiot if that's what he believes. The Cubs are idiots if that's what they expect. Folty has roughly 20-30 million in surplus value. That's already roughly half of Bryant's value. I could see Folty and Waters or Anderson being a fair trade in theory, but not Anderson, Waters, and Folty. Folty and Pache and is a pretty substantial overpay as well. Pache has almost as much surplus value himself as Bryant has.

But this theory ignores the fact that it creates another hole in the rotation, and while I'm super ok with trading Folty in general, it's just unlikely to happen unless it's in a trade for another pitcher.
 
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Still afraid a lot of folks are being a little too dismissive of Riley - they're not just going to give him away, and I don't think they've even resigned themselves to the belief that he's part of a platoon somewhere at best. Every situation and player is different, but it seems like most people around here have awfully short memories and have just decided he's not capable of making adjustments. There were plenty of folks (myself included) that were hesitant about wanting to trade for Javier Baez not too long ago.

2018 Riley - 297 ABs, .226/.279/.471/.750, 36.4 K%

2014 Baez - 213 ABs, .169/.227/.324/.551, 41.5 K%


https://www.minorleagueball.com/2016/7/29/12318256/one-year-of-javier-baez-chicago-cubs
 
Still afraid a lot of folks are being a little too dismissive of Riley - they're not just going to give him away, and I don't think they've even resigned themselves to the belief that he's part of a platoon somewhere at best. Every situation and player is different, but it seems like most people around here have awfully short memories and have just decided he's not capable of making adjustments. There were plenty of folks (myself included) that were hesitant about wanting to trade for Javier Baez not too long ago.

2018 Riley - 297 ABs, .226/.279/.471/.750, 36.4 K%

2014 Baez - 213 ABs, .169/.227/.324/.551, 41.5 K%


https://www.minorleagueball.com/2016/7/29/12318256/one-year-of-javier-baez-chicago-cubs

I don't think most people have completely given up on AR but most people (me included) don't think he is ready for a full time role at 3rd. Yes is is still very young and can improve. The improvement needs to come at AAA not in the majors as a platoon player.
 
I don't think most people have completely given up on AR but most people (me included) don't think he is ready for a full time role at 3rd. Yes is is still very young and can improve. The improvement needs to come at AAA not in the majors as a platoon player.

At some point you just have to find out if he can recognize a breaking ball. I dont think we will learn that at AAA.
 
Really. I thought most AAA pitchers were there to learn/improve on their secondary pitches. Look at Riley's minor league history and his constant ability to adjust and improve.
 
Man, the more I look back at that Melancon trade the more it makes me sick. He'll probably be a perfectly good reliever for us next year, but I feel like any possible production he could provide is easily replaceable for less than 15.5 million dollars. If I had the choice between Melancon or having back Tristan Beck and all that money, I'd take the latter every time. I think we could sign a guy like Will Harris for far less money and still be in the same spot, except with a payroll of 130 million instead of 138 or whatever its at right now. Even without a replacement for him I think our bullpen would be fine, and we'd have an extra 15 million to address 3rd base and the outfield.

If I were AA, I would be scouring the trade market for teams willing to take on that deal.

Edit: Just to reiterate, Melancon is a good reliever. But 15 million dollars is an absolute truck load for a reliever. If you're paying that amount with our payroll, that guy better be a slam dunk.
 
Man, the more I look back at that Melancon trade the more it makes me sick. He'll probably be a perfectly good reliever for us next year, but I feel like any possible production he could provide is easily replaceable for less than 15.5 million dollars. If I had the choice between Melancon or having back Tristan Beck and all that money, I'd take the latter every time. I think we could sign a guy like Will Harris for far less money and still be in the same spot, except with a payroll of 130 million instead of 138 or whatever its at right now. Even without a replacement for him I think our bullpen would be fine, and we'd have an extra 15 million to address 3rd base and the outfield.

If I were AA, I would be scouring the trade market for teams willing to take on that deal.

Edit: Just to reiterate, Melancon is a good reliever. But 15 million dollars is an absolute truck load for a reliever. If you're paying that amount with our payroll, that guy better be a slam dunk.


Beginning with the trade deadline, Anthopolous started putting real chips in the middle. That's the thing that people were upset that he hadn't done in the offseason.

I think the choices have been a little curious, but I don't regret the net effect of his rebuild of the bullpen last season that helped secure the division and gave the Braves the opportunity to truly contend (which I think they did do).

I'll wait and see what net result of this offseason looks like before starting to get upset about individual decisions.
 
Still afraid a lot of folks are being a little too dismissive of Riley - they're not just going to give him away, and I don't think they've even resigned themselves to the belief that he's part of a platoon somewhere at best. Every situation and player is different, but it seems like most people around here have awfully short memories and have just decided he's not capable of making adjustments. There were plenty of folks (myself included) that were hesitant about wanting to trade for Javier Baez not too long ago.

2018 Riley - 297 ABs, .226/.279/.471/.750, 36.4 K%

2014 Baez - 213 ABs, .169/.227/.324/.551, 41.5 K%


https://www.minorleagueball.com/2016/7/29/12318256/one-year-of-javier-baez-chicago-cubs

No one is giving up on Riley, but if you truly are going to make that next step to a no doubt WS contender team, you can't be hoping an option works out at a position of need. You need as much of a sure thing as possible. That's why if we got someone like Lindor or Betts (I really hope not on Betts... gonna be an overpay for an expensive guy for one year who you prob aren't going to re-sign)... I think Camargo is your answer with Riley staying in AAA.
 
Pirates are thought to be looking for a high-end C prospect this winter (whether in a Marte deal or another trade), so here's my Harry trade(s) of the day...



Langeliers and Wilson for Marte. Extend Marte (2/$30 million maybe?) to play LF through 2023.

Waters, Riley, and Touki to KC for Dozier and Merrifield. Acuna plays CF with Merrifield in RF until Pache is ready NEXT season, then Merrifield becomes your super-sub.

Ender and Wright to Cleveland for Kluber. Newk stays in the pen.




Merrifield, Marte, Freddie, Acuna, Ozzie, Dozier, d'Arnaud, Dansby

Flowers, Markakis, Duvall, Camargo, Hechavarria/Iglesias

Kluber, Hamels, Soroka, Fried, Folty
 
Pirates are thought to be looking for a high-end C prospect this winter (whether in a Marte deal or another trade), so here's my Harry trade(s) of the day...



Langeliers and Wilson for Marte. Extend Marte (2/$30 million maybe?) to play LF through 2023.

Waters, Riley, and Touki to KC for Dozier and Merrifield. Acuna plays CF with Merrifield in RF until Pache is ready NEXT season, then Merrifield becomes your super-sub.

Ender and Wright to Cleveland for Kluber. Newk stays in the pen.




Merrifield, Marte, Freddie, Acuna, Ozzie, Dozier, d'Arnaud, Dansby

Flowers, Markakis, Duvall, Camargo, Hechavarria/Iglesias

Kluber, Hamels, Soroka, Fried, Folty

If I'm trading a C prospect, it would be Contreras... I think Langeliers is going to be very good. I think he's our future C no doubt about it. I'm very interested in Marte, but the PED past does make me a little nervous.
 
Pirates are thought to be looking for a high-end C prospect this winter (whether in a Marte deal or another trade), so here's my Harry trade(s) of the day...



Langeliers and Wilson for Marte. Extend Marte (2/$30 million maybe?) to play LF through 2023.

Waters, Riley, and Touki to KC for Dozier and Merrifield. Acuna plays CF with Merrifield in RF until Pache is ready NEXT season, then Merrifield becomes your super-sub.

Ender and Wright to Cleveland for Kluber. Newk stays in the pen.




Merrifield, Marte, Freddie, Acuna, Ozzie, Dozier, d'Arnaud, Dansby

Flowers, Markakis, Duvall, Camargo, Hechavarria/Iglesias

Kluber, Hamels, Soroka, Fried, Folty

Also I think your value for Marte is about right, but those packages won't even come close to bringing back Merrifield, Dozier, and Kluber... nowhere close.
 
Still afraid a lot of folks are being a little too dismissive of Riley - they're not just going to give him away, and I don't think they've even resigned themselves to the belief that he's part of a platoon somewhere at best. Every situation and player is different, but it seems like most people around here have awfully short memories and have just decided he's not capable of making adjustments. There were plenty of folks (myself included) that were hesitant about wanting to trade for Javier Baez not too long ago.

2018 Riley - 297 ABs, .226/.279/.471/.750, 36.4 K%

2014 Baez - 213 ABs, .169/.227/.324/.551, 41.5 K%


https://www.minorleagueball.com/2016/7/29/12318256/one-year-of-javier-baez-chicago-cubs

Baez plays average or better SS, so the offensive bar is lower.

Baez was almost 2 years younger when he posted those numbers.

Baez made more contact on pitches in the strike zone.

Baez and Riley aren't very similar at all. Here is the guy Riley is most similar to:

https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4672&position=OF
 
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