The Coronavirus, not the beer

thethe said:
There wont be any discussion on this. We will be told to stop being a conspiracy theorist and we ate supposed to just keep the status quo. You know the saying now....restoration.

As if that is a good thing based on what we have learned the last 4 years.
Click to expand...

There won't be any discussion because their is no controversy. Pretty much everyone agrees that China is awful re: Taiwan.
 
Metaphysicist said:
lol, "basic calculus".

"Basic calculus" tells you I can look at the last 2 weeks and see whether deaths are currently exponentially increasing or not, whether the slope is changing, whether there is acceleration or deceleration. The first day it arrived in Italy has no effect on that.
Click to expand...

It gives context to the data since you are only looking at a subset.

Are you even aware you are only looking at a subset of the data?
 
thethe said:
It gives context to the data since you are only looking at a subset.

Are you even aware you are only looking at a subset of the data?
Click to expand...

Great, it will give me context. It will not change the slope or acceleration of the past 2 weeks.

**** off with your "subset of the data" like you even know what you are talking about. Let's say Coronavirus arrived in Italy in 1996. It has been killing 1 person per day since then and we just never knew, and it somehow stayed isolated and never became widespread. But then in late February 2020, the death rate exploded in exactly the same way it did in real life. How would that change literally anything?
 
Metaphysicist said:
Great, it will give me context. It will not change the slope or acceleration of the past 2 weeks.

**** off with your "subset of the data" like you even know what you are talking about. Let's say Coronavirus arrived in Italy in 1996. It has been killing 1 person per day since then and we just never knew, and it somehow stayed isolated and never became widespread. But then in late February 2020, the death rate exploded in exactly the same way it did in real life. How would that change literally anything?
Click to expand...

Because the subset of data gives you no idea to gauge where the top is. Jesus christ you just have no clue how to analyze function.
 
For starters it's impossible for it to have been here that long.

We are learning about its rate of transmission so your hyperbolic example is meaningless in almost every way other then again demonstrating how clueless you are on this topic.

But the top of the curve changes dramatically based on when the seed infections started and just how many arrived. So the fact you dont care is just well...alarming.
 
[Tw]1243953781177495552[/tw]

Lets pray this continues but we will have explosions in other major cities that had travel with china.
 
A couple of my Tibetan and Uighur friends asked me to say hello to those of you who have suddenly realized China aint so great.
 
thethe said:
For starters it's impossible for it to have been here that long.

We are learning about its rate of transmission so your hyperbolic example is meaningless in almost every way other then again demonstrating how clueless you are on this topic.

But the top of the curve changes dramatically based on when the seed infections started and just how many arrived. So the fact you dont care is just well...alarming.
Click to expand...

It is also likewise impossible for the virus to have been widespread in Italy for 4 months and then only in February see an exponential explosion of deaths. Your theory and mine are equally plausible.

If the seeds arrived 4 months ago but people didn't start dying in noticeable numbers until February then it would be clear they wouldn't have been actually infecting people based on the same R0 as you see once the virus is widespread (or alternately you think there is a multi-month incubation period). That means you have 2 separate functions. So yeah, I care about what is happening now.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top