The Coronavirus, not the beer

I got to give it to “freedom boy”

He might not actually show outrage to attacks on freedom

But he for sure needs a job and is good at being a message board English teacher
 
Arizona didn't have a day with over 1,000 new cases until June 2.

On June 16 it had its first day over 2,000.

Today it has its first day over 3,000.
 
104297758_10223130107945882_4484791446138759113_n.jpg
 
I’ve just been told a story by someone that had confirmed Covid tests and was positive for antibodies. She works in the hospital.

She was confirmed positive and her husband and lived together while she was positive. They kissed and slept in the same bed. He never got it. If this thing is as contagious as thought there is zero chance he didn’t get exposed. He should have 100% gotten it. This tells me there’s a marker that makes you super sensitive to it or

This kinda shook up my thinking as to what this thing looks like....
 
Tapate50 said:
I’ve just been told a story by someone that had confirmed Covid tests and was positive for antibodies. She works in the hospital.

She was confirmed positive and her husband and lived together while she was positive. They kissed and slept in the same bed. He never got it. If this thing is as contagious as thought there is zero chance he didn’t get exposed. He should have 100% gotten it. This tells me there’s a marker that makes you super sensitive to it or

This kinda shook up my thinking as to what this thing looks like....
Click to expand...

there is a term--dispersion factor (k)--that scientists use when discussing this

Most of the discussion around the spread of SARS-CoV-2 has concentrated on the average number of new infections caused by each patient. Without social distancing, this reproduction number (R) is about three. But in real life, some people infect many others and others don't spread the disease at all. In fact, the latter is the norm, Lloyd-Smith says: “The consistent pattern is that the most common number is zero. Most people do not transmit.”

That's why in addition to R, scientists use a value called the dispersion factor (k), which describes how much a disease clusters. The lower k is, the more transmission comes from a small number of people. In a seminal 2005 Nature paper, Lloyd-Smith and co-authors estimated that SARS—in which superspreading played a major role—had a k of 0.16. The estimated k for MERS, which emerged in 2012, is about 0.25. In the flu pandemic of 1918, in contrast, the value was about one, indicating that clusters played less of a role.

Estimates of k for SARS-CoV-2 vary. In January, researchers at the University of Bern simulated the epidemic in China for different combinations of R and k and compared the outcomes with what had actually taken place. They concluded that k for COVID-19 is somewhat higher than for SARS and MERS. But in a March preprint, Adam Kucharski of LSHTM estimated it's only 0.1. “Probably about 10% of cases lead to 80% of the spread,” Kucharski says.


https://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6493/808.full
 
Last edited:
Reports from BLM rallies there have been less than anticipated.

As dispicable as this Tulsa thing let's hope results come back the same
 
Not sure we will know about the protests or trump's rally for a while. Georgia and Florida were open for over a month before cases started risking
 
Brazil with over 50k cases today. That's more than we've had in 1 day. According to worldometers, they had 1.039 million cases and given only 2.334 million tests. Wow, we have 2.297 million cases, but given 27.333 million tests.
 
57Brave said:
Reports from BLM rallies there have been less than anticipated.

As dispicable as this Tulsa thing let's hope results come back the same
Click to expand...

well, at those rallies and protest

most are wearing masks and trying to be safe as ya can

they won't wear masks etc in tulsa
 
Positive percentage:

Florida: 9.5% (7 day average) up from 4.7% a week ago

Arizona: 17.0% up from up from 10.0% two weeks ago

Texas: 10.0% up from 7.3% a week ago

National: 5.0% up from 4.5% a week ago

national numbers, whether cases or % of tests postives, have turned up
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top