GDT: Braves @ Cardinals w/ a Chip on their shoulder.

Mad Dog Murph said:
Glad to see we’re not overreacting 5 days into the season
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Being a little miffed that our biggest acquisition has barely played thus far is overreacting? I don’t see anyone freaking out. It’s called having a discussion… you should try it sometime
 
striker42 said:
You're seeing some more pulled hits but you're losing some hits that found holes caused by the shift. But in any event, the majority of pulled routine grounders will be gobbled up regardless of shift or not.

I'm more interested in the line drives. I wonder how many pulled bullets that never touch dirt are making it through now.
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Very good point and you may be onto something.

BA on pulled liners:
2023: .707
2022: .678
2021: .683

But also keeping in mind a lot of the stolen hits were on balls hit up the middle...

BA on pulled/middle liners:
2023: .669
2022: .640
2021: .646

BA on pulled/middle grounders:
2023: .213
2022: .214
2021: .214

So it looks like we might be seeing a ~25 point increase in BA on liners, while no real benefit to grounders.

We are getting into small sample size issues for a single player, but Olson hit 65 and 66 such balls in 2022 and 2021. Adding 25 points to his BA on those balls would add 1.65 hits, so this "dozens of extra hits" narrative is still outlandish.
 
striker42 said:
You're seeing some more pulled hits but you're losing some hits that found holes caused by the shift. But in any event, the majority of pulled routine grounders will be gobbled up regardless of shift or not.

I'm more interested in the line drives. I wonder how many pulled bullets that never touch dirt are making it through now.
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I agree with this - Its not the ground balls mostly that got eaten up by the ****fs. It was the line drives into short RF/LF that were stupid. or the line drives right up the middle.
 
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