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It's not even the fact that they all hit...add in that pretty much all the guys traded other than Contreras have failed to meet expectations. If a team hits on that many prospects they probably are going to have a Jeff Bagwell or two in there that they gave away for a rental or some other win...

Looking a little more in-depth it seems as if Riley's projected decline is more due to defense than offense, which I guess is understandable. The projection doesn't seem to believe in Riley's defensive improvements from last year. If it was simply averaging his performance it wouldn't make...

Olson and Riley are really the only ones that seem excessively low. Barring injury it's hard to see a drop off of over 2.0 WAR for Olson and 1.2 for Riley. There's a path for everyone in the lineup to exceed the projections for sure, but it's asking a lot for that many of them to do it for a...

Ozzie should slot in about 6th on that list.

Perhaps the new deal removes any incentives from Sale to try to hit certain targets to get the option to vest. So that he doesn't get pissed when we limit him to 15-20 starts in order to have him fresh for October.

The extent of my pitching coach experience involves kids aged 9-10 in league ball, so take it for what it's worth, but it seems to me like a good plan for Sale (and Morton for that matter) would be something like this. Never throw a 100th pitch in a game, and skip a start every 5th or 6th time...

Braves trade for Chris Sale, per Passan. https://x.com/jeffpassan/status/1741174548991553824?s=46&t=VKUX0KEsVDEwvBGk5nonyA

The fact that we needed to pick up another starter at the deadline, and shouldn't have had Elder starting a playoff game, does not preclude the other statement that the offense sucked in the playoffs from being true. Regardless of who we had on the roster, if you had asked anyone on here 100%...

Our horses were all cheap claimers, so there wasn't big money to be made even if they had been elite for their level. But we learned really quickly that those horses running with a $5,000 tag cost just as much to feed and had just as many vet bills as the Derby contenders. But I have some...

You would probably be surprised at how many in that industry are living hand-to-mouth, relatively speaking. Not so much the owners, as almost all of them are doing it for play money, a tax write-off, or both. But many of the big name trainers are one down year or major suspension from...

Your ideas make sense and I would be on board. Unfortunately, when given a choice between distributing money more equally among a greater number of players or focusing on maximizing salaries for free agent stars, the MLBPA has chosen the latter nearly every time.

Admittedly I don't know anything about the last three Orioles prospects you listed, but Kjerstad is going to be a freaking star. If I'm the White Sox I take the O's offer over the Braves' simply because of HK's upside as a hitter.

Smoltz was much better on the local broadcasts than he is working the national games for Fox.

What the Braves do each year is exactly the opposite of playing the lottery. They have the best overall roster in baseball, with most key players signed to team-friendly conrtracts. The biggest lottery ticket philosophy in the game, outside of maybe paying big for an international player...

Elder should never start a playoff game unless the team is up 3-0 or thereabouts and trying to line up starters for the next series. I wouldn't particularly want Lugo starting one either. He's probably marginally better than Elder, but not enough that I want him starting in a clutch situation.

Honestly by the time the Dodgers will owe Freeman and Betts their deferred money, the $14-16MM will likely be the going rate for a middle reliever or bench bat.

Our kids will be making fun of the Dodgers every July 1st the way we currently do the Mets for the Bobby Bonilla deal.

What kind of sick freak do you have to be to turn down more money (or AAV at least) to stay in Philadelphia over pretty much anywhere else?

Part of that is probably because they were locked into a below market rate for the broadcasts. It was likely profitable for Bally since they were paying 2008 rates.

Thirty years from now all our kids are going to be invoking the name Austin Riley any time there is a talented prospect with critical flaws coming through the system.