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We're only a game behind the Twins for the second best odds, but they're pretty clearly awful and almost seem like they're purposely tanking. I don't think there's any chance we are worse than them the rest of the way. That would lock up the White Sox and Twins with the top two odds, meaning...

Pirates complete the sweep of the Dodgers somehow. We are in sole possession of third best odds now. Twins-White Sox about to get started. A Twins win would mean we’re tied with them for second best odds.

Rome and Augusta seasons end on Sunday, so this was likely Caminiti’s last start of the year: 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 7 K. 93 pitches, his career high. Only three outs came through the air.

Southisene now up to 50 plate appearances as a pro and hasn’t walked once.

As you'd imagine, big shift overnight. Horton back to the favorite, going from +130 to -115. Baldwin from -110 to +160. Collins from +500 to +550.

Pretty much worst case scenario so far - Horton dominant, Baldwin hitless, Braves still win to hurt the tank.

Pirates shut out the Dodgers (and have Skenes on the mound tomorrow). If we lose tonight, we’ll be in sole possession of the second best draft odds.

Horton got pulled around 70ish pitches in his last start too. They’re trying to manage his workload down the stretch since they’ll likely need him in the postseason and he hasn’t thrown a ton of innings in previous years. Hopefully that hurts him down the stretch but I’m grasping for straws at...

Collins three-run bomb in the first inning.

Our next 10 games are against playoff teams (@CHC, SEA, CHC, @HOU). After that, 10 of our final 13 games are against the Nationals and Pirates - with a three-game series @ Detroit sandwiched in there, too. That inevitable hot streak over the last 13 games is going to be extremely frustrating.

Also worth noting, we need to be rooting for our odds to stay in the top 3. That way, the worst case scenario would be picking 9th. If you get the fourth best odds, you could fall to 10th (although a very small chance). And if you fall to 10th in this draft, you actually fall to 13th because of...

More positive movement overnight: Baldwin from +100 to -110 Horton from +125 to +130 Collins from +400 to +500 Tonight is a big game for the Rookie of the Year. We face Horton tonight and he has four more starts remaining this season after that - and next one will also be against us. Would be...

Solid night for the tank last night. Braves lose and wins for the Pirates and Orioles. Teams from picks 2-6 are all pretty close together. The White Sox have the top odds locked up at this point. Then the order goes: T-2. Pittsburgh (62-77) T-2. Atlanta (62-77) 4. Minnesota (0.5 GB) 5...

My QO theory is down the drain. MLB site says it's only possible if "a player spent the entire season on that team’s roster (in-season acquisitions are ineligible)." So trades aren't the only way the QO gets dropped.

I hadn't thought about that, but it technically was a waiver claim and not a trade. Can you get a QO if you were a waiver claim? I can't imagine that situation has ever come up during the QO era (and almost certainly won't come up here), but it's an interesting question.

I would be pretty surprised if they sign a QO player in that situation just based on history. The only QO guy AA has signed here was Will Smith unless I'm forgetting someone. Now that it would cost a pick in the late 20s (assuming Baldwin does win ROY)? I would be surprised.

I don't see why not since it would make him a free agent. But I'm not 100% sure on that.

I know this is unlikely, but if your scenario happens, I wonder if we would consider a qualifying offer on him. It was worth $21 million last offseason, and if we're already willing to spend $16 million on Kim, would a big September make us willing to spend $5 million more - or at least get...

ESPN odds are: Baldwin -105 Horton +125 Collins +500

Another big odds shift overnight. Baldwin is now the favorite at +100, Horton still +125. Collins has plummeted down to +400.