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  1. J

    Heyman: Why The Braves Traded Kimbrel

    Kimbrell: 8.2 IP, 9 hits, 5 runs, 1 HR, 10/4 K/BB Grilli: 9.0, 6, 4, 1, 14/3 Small sample size, I know.
  2. J

    GDT: 4/7/'15 - Atlanta Braves (Wood) @ Miami Marlins (Latos) 7:35PM EST

    The Braves were 3rd n the NL in homers in 1991.
  3. J

    GDT: 4/7/'15 - Atlanta Braves (Wood) @ Miami Marlins (Latos) 7:35PM EST

    In 1985 when the Cards won the pennant, they led the NL in OPS (First in OBP, 5th in SP), and thus led the league in runs scored. The following year they dropped to dead last in both OBP and SP and thus were dead last (by a mile) in runs scored. They dropped from 100 wins in 1985 to 79 in 1986...
  4. J

    GDT: 4/7/'15 - Atlanta Braves (Wood) @ Miami Marlins (Latos) 7:35PM EST

    To lump 2013 and 2014 together as two teams that "scored less than 700 runs" is completely illogical. In 2013 we scored 688 runs and were fourth in the NL in runs scored. But in 2014 we scored 573 runs ONE HUNDRED FIFTEEN runs fewer than in 2013 and were 14th in the NL in runs scored. In fact in...
  5. J

    GDT #95: July 13, 2014 Braves (Teheran) @ Cubs (Not Our Wood) 2:20 EST

    Say what you will about Laird, but he threw out 36% last year and is at 40% this year. For his career he is at 36%, 9 points above the MLB average for that span.
  6. J

    GDT 7/5/14 ATL (HARANG) vs. ARI (BOLSINGER) 4:10 ET

    Not to mention we now have the second best record in the NL.
  7. J

    Lineup Optimzation

    It is also pretty clear that lineup construction matters very little, once you get the basics down.
  8. J

    So whats the answer to our offensive woes ?

    And here you touch on another hidden issue. OPS of current bench players: Pena .642, Doumit .494, Laird .493, Schafer .401, Pastornicky .477. The bench either must get better, or we need to shop around a bit to strengthen that area.
  9. J

    So whats the answer to our offensive woes ?

    Here's some preliminary analysis: last year we were 4th in the league in runs scored (the ultimate offensive stat, really) and this year we are 14th. Why? A couple of things immediately jump out. First, last year, although we led the league in strikeouts and were ninth in batting average, we...
  10. J

    Why do we consistantly struggle to hit with RISP throughout the Years?

    Exactly. Over the long haul teams that hit .250 tend to hit about .250 with RISP. Teams that hit .280 tend to hit about .280 with RISP. The other thing is that RISP tends to fluctuate from team to team and (especially) player to player over time due to comparatively small sample sizes.
  11. J

    Nice article on Andrelton

    Yep. Every player has their strengths and weaknesses. I think that perhaps the manager's job can best be defined as putting your players in positions to maximize their strengths and minimize their weaknesses. Bobby Cox was one of the best ever at this. Fredi is pretty good in that area as well.
  12. J

    GDT #19 4/21/14: Marlins (Koehler) @ Braves (Teheran), 7:10

    Gattis is at 32% (12/38) for his career. The league average is 27%.
  13. J

    Medlen and Beachy to change mechanics

    Maddux? Glavine? Ford? Durable short pitchers are the exception. Durable tall pitchers are the exception, too.
  14. J

    Medlen and Beachy to change mechanics

    Maddux? Ford? Durable short pitchers are the exception. Durable tall pitchers are the exception, too.
  15. J

    Simmons signed to 7 year extension

    In theory that is a good point, but there is hole or two in your analysis. Chuck James had pitched pretty well for the Braves through July, 2007, posting an ERA of about 3.7 in 22 starts through that point. In fact he had a very good July. However, in early August he was obviously injured...
  16. J

    Simmons signed to 7 year extension

    This post misses several key points. First, when the Teixeira trade was made the Braves were 3.5 games out of first place 2/3 of the way through the 2007 season, despite having a 1B (Scott Thorman) who posted a WAR of -0.9. The Braves knew there was a risk that the players they dealt might one...
  17. J

    Simmons signed to 7 year extension

    Yeah for all the moaning about the Teixeira trade, someone once did a post-Tex trade WAR analysis comparing the players we lost to the players we had instead. Interestingly, the guys we had in place here had a higher cumulative WAR than the guys we traded.
  18. J

    Might as well not even play the NLDS

    He is damn good. No doubt. So is the guy who is opposing him.
  19. J

    Might as well not even play the NLDS

    Pitcher A: 90.2 IP, 67 hits, 4 HR, 93/17 K/BB ratio, Pitcher B: 83.1 IP, 70 hits, 6 HR, 71/15 K/BB ratio, A is Kershaw, B is Medlen post-all-star 2013. Our lineup is better right now and we have the better 'pen.
  20. J

    Should We Be Worried?

    But he's not overpaid as a leadoff hitter with virtually the same OBP as Dan Uggla? And I am not comparing Bourne to B.J. I am simply saying that Bourne is overpaid and a bad investment for Cleveland.
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