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AJSS looked like he was working with some improved stuff that he struggled a bit to command/execute. The eye test (for me) said the heater was 95-97 with good rise, the split was filthy, and the sweeper was a sharp downer. The slider looked useless. Let's see what the actual data says now that...

2/26 lineup LF Profar 3B Riley 1B Olson DH Ozuna CF Harris 2B Albies RF Kelenic SS Arcia C Tromp P AJSS A lot to like about the thought process behind this lineup construction. Highest projected OBP leading off, Albies behind a LHH, and decent L/R alternation. Albies sandwiched...

FG just released their 2025 projections for the Braves, and I feel like this deserves its own thread. This plus their prospect rankings are the most interesting content released in the public sphere. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-zips-projections-atlanta-braves/ Acuna (5.1 fWAR)...

Waldrep has thrown enough FAs, FSs, and SLs to rank them against other pitchers. His command/execution has been pretty awful, so let's see if the stuff is good enough to even worry about waiting for him to "learn how to pitch". FA: 95.8 mph (115 of 562), 4.0" Arm-side (493 of 592), 13.8"...

Schwellenbach made his debut, and early on he looked really good by the eye test. My old grading metrics are several years old and likely out of date for modern pitchers, so I'm going to do this a little differently and rank each aspect of his pitches compared to all pitchers who have thrown at...

Now that 6 players have reached 100 PAs (Arcia is at 93 but that's close enough), let's take a look at how the main everyday hitters are doing in the first semi-meaningful sample size of the season. Ozuna: .344/.416/.678, .338 BABIP, 10.9% BB, 15.8% K, .471 wOBA, .509 xwOBA Simply put, Ozuna...

As we all know, the Braves have 9 spots on the 40 man roster to fill. Several of those spots will be SS/OF bench players on the 26 man roster, and there are some interesting options that were just nontendered: https://www.mlb.com/news/non-tendered-mlb-free-agents-2023-24 Kyle Lewis: He's...

Going to start a new thread just to hold the current 2024 payroll. Current holes are: 2 OFers that somehow sum up to an everyday LFer plus a backup CF 1 impact SP 1 SS most likely for the bench or a star that pushes Arcia to the bench 1 more bench player who may be the backup CF Grissom may...

FG just released their initial power rankings based on 2024 projections: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-power-rankings-the-start-of-the-offseason/ Unsurprisingly, the Braves are clearly #1 since they lost almost nothing from the best 2023 roster. It is interesting to see the positional...

MLBTR just released their Top 50 FAs article: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/2023-24-top-50-free-agents-with-predictions.html We can use it to zero in on the FA SPs we think AA is going to target. I'll post the 2022/2023 xwOBA of every SP on the list, as well as what MLBTR projects for...

The Phillies are likely to lineup as follows in Game 1 (xwOBA vs RHP/LHP): Schwarber .372/.355 Turner .322/.349 Harper .410/.370 Bohm .339/.351 Stott .307/.312 Realmuto .328/.357 Castellanos .322/.323 Marsh .337/.276 Rojas .262/.263 First thing that pops out is there aren't any obvious places...

The only real position the Braves have to upgrade this offseason is LF, and the FA class for LF is pretty bleak: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/09/previewing-the-2023-24-free-agent-class-corner-outfield.html The easy choice is simply picking up Rosario’s $9M option. I’d like to see...

FG has finally released their top prospects report for the Braves. While they have the best prospect content by far, no level of quality justifies how long they take to create this content. At this rate they won't be done with all teams by the time the draft rolls around...

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/ronald-acuna-jr-s-bat-is-nearly-all-the-way-back-but-the-rest-of-his-game-lags/ The short of it is his exit velocities have rebounded in 2023, but he's hitting too many grounders. I don't worry about that since he has shown the ability to elevate the ball, and I have...

Harris with an oppo bomb. Wind is pushing to LF pretty good, but still great to see. Gives me hope he can do damage while hanging in vs LHP. Shuster is now the guy I’m most eager to see mlb statcast data for, mostly to see the shape of the 92-93 fastball and breaking ball. The eye test says...

Good to see Olson with a bomb off a tough LHP.

FG just released their FA contract projections: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2023-top-50-free-agents/ Of note: Turner: 9/288 Correa: 10/300 Xander: 7/217 Swanson: 6/144 These all fall right in line with what we've long expected. Correa and Turner pushing $300M, Xander priced as a SS that won't...

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/managerial-report-cards-national-league-division-series-2/ No surprise here...Snit got a D for managing the lineup and a B+ for managing the pitchers. I have to agree with both grades, and we all saw the moronic lineup choices play out in real time. Some snippets in...

Statcast arm strength data is now available, and it's awesome. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/arm-strength?year=2022&minThrows=100&pos=&team= I knew Acuna has a good arm, but I wasn't aware it's an 80. The dude is simply the most talented overall player in the game, and I can't...

I'm no financial titan like our good buddy sturg with his army of imagined subordinates and crypto wealth, but here's how the 12 month total margin debt rate of change is stacking up against the previous 2 major market corrections since it peaked at 0.04+: We can see indication the bear rally...