cajunrevenge
Well-known member
With roughly 20 days left its time to get this done. So many states that are really too close to call with any certainty but here we go. Going in Alphabetical order and the odds I give each of being correct.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/bj71w
There is link to interactive map I couldnt get embeded into the post.
Alabama -100%- Trump
Alaska -99.9%- Trump
Arizona- 51%- Trump
Arkansas - 100%- Trump
California -100%- Harris
Colorado - 99.9%- Harris
Connecticut -100%- Harris
Delaware -100%- Harris
DC - 100%- Harris
Florida- 90%- Trump
Georgia - 51%- Harris - gonna be super close again.
Hawaii - 100%- Harris
Idaho - 100% - Trump
Illinois - 100%- Harris
Indiana -100%- Trump
Iowa - 95%- Trump
Kansas - 100%- Trump
Kentucky - 100%- Trump
Louisiana -100%- Trump
Maine - 100%- Harris
Maine District 1 - 100%- Harris
Maine District 2 - 70%- Trump
Maryland -100%- Harris
Massachusetts -100%- Harris
Michigan -65%- Harris
Minnesota -80% - Harris
Mississippi - 100%- Trump
Missouri - 100%- Trump
Montana - 100%- Trump
Nebraska - 100%- Trump
Nevada - 65%- Trump
New Hampshire - 85%- Harris
New Jersey - 85%- Harris
New Mexico - 95%- Harris
New York - 100%- Harris
North Carolina -65%- Trump
North Dakota - 100%- Trump
Ohio - 90%- Trump -
Oklahoma - 100%- Trump
Oregon - 99%- Harris
Pennsylvania - 60%- Harris - probably deserves to be 55% but I think Kamala will win PA.
Rhode Island - 100%- Harris
South Carolina -100%- Trump
South Dakota -100%- Trump
Tennesse - 100%- Trump
Texas - 90%- Trump -
Utah - 100%- Trump
Vermont - 100%- Harris
Virgina - 90%- Harris
Washington - 100%- Harris
West Virginia-100%- Trump
Wisconsin - 55% - Harris
Wyoming - 100%- Trump
This boils down to
197 safe electoral votes for Kamala
28 very likely electioral votes
35 Dem leaning electoral votes
218 safe electoral votes for Trump
1 very likely electoral vote for Trump(Maine district)
35 Trump leaning electoral votes
26 complete toss up electoral votes Georgia/Wisconsin
My official prediction is that Harris wins both Georgia and Wisconsin and wins the electoral college with 286 electoral votes to Trumps 252 although I wouldnt give Kamala higher than 55% odds to win. Trump could very well win WI and GA and flip this whole scenario. Atleast one leaning state is likely to flip if not two. Which state that is is anyones guess.
Of course, winning is only the start of our election cycle now. Expect a lot of litigation after the fact that mostly will go nowhere. Harris campaign will handle their losses in court with dignity while Trumps campaign will throw a tempter tantrum every time they lose a case and demand the states legislatures overturn the results because he saw someone on TV say there was fraud.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/bj71w
There is link to interactive map I couldnt get embeded into the post.
Alabama -100%- Trump
Alaska -99.9%- Trump
Arizona- 51%- Trump
Arkansas - 100%- Trump
California -100%- Harris
Colorado - 99.9%- Harris
Connecticut -100%- Harris
Delaware -100%- Harris
DC - 100%- Harris
Florida- 90%- Trump
Georgia - 51%- Harris - gonna be super close again.
Hawaii - 100%- Harris
Idaho - 100% - Trump
Illinois - 100%- Harris
Indiana -100%- Trump
Iowa - 95%- Trump
Kansas - 100%- Trump
Kentucky - 100%- Trump
Louisiana -100%- Trump
Maine - 100%- Harris
Maine District 1 - 100%- Harris
Maine District 2 - 70%- Trump
Maryland -100%- Harris
Massachusetts -100%- Harris
Michigan -65%- Harris
Minnesota -80% - Harris
Mississippi - 100%- Trump
Missouri - 100%- Trump
Montana - 100%- Trump
Nebraska - 100%- Trump
Nevada - 65%- Trump
New Hampshire - 85%- Harris
New Jersey - 85%- Harris
New Mexico - 95%- Harris
New York - 100%- Harris
North Carolina -65%- Trump
North Dakota - 100%- Trump
Ohio - 90%- Trump -
Oklahoma - 100%- Trump
Oregon - 99%- Harris
Pennsylvania - 60%- Harris - probably deserves to be 55% but I think Kamala will win PA.
Rhode Island - 100%- Harris
South Carolina -100%- Trump
South Dakota -100%- Trump
Tennesse - 100%- Trump
Texas - 90%- Trump -
Utah - 100%- Trump
Vermont - 100%- Harris
Virgina - 90%- Harris
Washington - 100%- Harris
West Virginia-100%- Trump
Wisconsin - 55% - Harris
Wyoming - 100%- Trump
This boils down to
197 safe electoral votes for Kamala
28 very likely electioral votes
35 Dem leaning electoral votes
218 safe electoral votes for Trump
1 very likely electoral vote for Trump(Maine district)
35 Trump leaning electoral votes
26 complete toss up electoral votes Georgia/Wisconsin
My official prediction is that Harris wins both Georgia and Wisconsin and wins the electoral college with 286 electoral votes to Trumps 252 although I wouldnt give Kamala higher than 55% odds to win. Trump could very well win WI and GA and flip this whole scenario. Atleast one leaning state is likely to flip if not two. Which state that is is anyones guess.
Of course, winning is only the start of our election cycle now. Expect a lot of litigation after the fact that mostly will go nowhere. Harris campaign will handle their losses in court with dignity while Trumps campaign will throw a tempter tantrum every time they lose a case and demand the states legislatures overturn the results because he saw someone on TV say there was fraud.
