Hitters Since May 1st

striker42

striker42

Well-known member
Some players seem to come out of the gates either red hot or ice cold and that doesn't necessarily represent how they'll do the rest of the year. They make adjustments or the league adjusts or they just regress to the mean and they settle in to more normal production. So I thought it might be fun to look at some of our players' numbers since May 1.

Acuna- 152 PAs, .927 OPS, 94.5 EV, .321 BABIP
Olson- 153 PAs, .817 OPS, 93.7 EV, .231 BABIP
Riley- 149 PAs, .789 OPS, 93.3 EV, .337 BABIP
Murphy- 115 PAs, .917 OPS, 93.2 EV, .356 BABIP
Rosario- 114 PAs, .772 OPS, 89.9 EV, .312 BABIP
Ozuna- 114 PAs, 1.017 OPS, 91.1 EV, .338 BABIP
Albies- 141 PAs, .781 OPS, 90.3 EV, .259 BABIP
Arcia- 102 PAS, .799 OPS, 88.0 EV, .365 BABIP
Harris- 115 PAs, .565 OPS, 89.3 EV, .217 BABIP

Pillar- 41 PAs, .985 OPS, 88.4 EV, .240 BABIP
TDA- 42 PAs, .619 OPS, 88.2 EV, .276 BABIP

My observations:

-Acuna has been remarkably consistent this year. He's just been crushing everything the entire season.

-We've had some guys run into some tough luck. Olson, Albies, and Harris look to be hitting the ball far better than their results.

-Riley is starting to worry me a little. His hasn't looked all that great in spite of above average luck. He's still hitting the ball hard though.

-Ozuna has legitimately been our best hitter the last 6 weeks. I didn't think that was possible but it's happening. He's been a little lucky but you can't attribute all of it to luck.
 
Interesting numbers. On Riley, I kind of feel like he's grinding. He's not having a great season, but he's not gotten hot anywhere during the 2+ months, and this is about the floor for him, and it's not awful. If I'm right, and when he gets hot he has an extended period where he carries the team like he did the last two years, I can live with this while he's trying to find a groove. Of course, the other possibility is that he really does have a slider speed bat and gets caught in between a lot.

Hoping Mike's big night last night was him busting through the wall and starting to get some positive results. It's hard to have bad BABIP luck when the ball goes 450'.
 
With Rosario and Ozuna playing respectably, the lineup really is deep and balanced.

Our top 4 have been a little cold the last couple weeks and yet we have still played okay baseball.
 
chop2chip said:
With Rosario and Ozuna playing respectably, the lineup really is deep and balanced.

Our top 4 have been a little cold the last couple weeks and yet we have still played okay baseball.
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I know his numbers are a little better recently, but Rosario is my least favorite at bat to watch. He just seems to be a hacker, with no approach at the plate, other than to try and pull everything over the right field wall.
 
Riley just sucks out of the zone.. he can't lay off high heat and that has mad his low and away slider show back up. I think he continues to learn pitch recognition and will come back to his .850 ish OPS..
 
A bit more clarity in regards to Riley:

He was in a hellacious slump from the end of April through the first ~2 weeks of May. He had about a .550 OPS over that time frame I think, which was roughly 20 games. In the 22 games since May 12 he is hitting .322./.364/.544 (.908 OPS). He still isn't quite hitting for the overall power you would like to see from him yet, but he's been on a pretty good tear these last 3 weeks.

All of his rate stats are right in line with the last 2 years other than his power numbers. Considering he's still maintaining elite EVs, I don't think we will have to worry about his power numbers being low too much longer.
 
Carp said:
A bit more clarity in regards to Riley:

He was in a hellacious slump from the end of April through the first ~2 weeks of May. He had about a .550 OPS over that time frame I think, which was roughly 20 games. In the 22 games since May 12 he is hitting .322./.364/.544 (.908 OPS). He still isn't quite hitting for the overall power you would like to see from him yet, but he's been on a pretty good tear these last 3 weeks.

All of his rate stats are right in line with the last 2 years other than his power numbers. Considering he's still maintaining elite EVs, I don't think we will have to worry about his power numbers being low too much longer.
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The elite EV is something that stands out for me. If his bat had suddenly lost a tick I don't think he'd be sustaining those rates.
 
Riley getting back to more normal is a huge, huge deal. More than anyone else struggling, Braves needed him to not be bad.
 
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