The 2018 Midterms

Runnin

Well-known member
Braves fans will still have something to talk about this fall even if we don't hit 80 wins. A historically unpopular President has energized grass roots candidates on both sides. Rep candidates seem to be adopting a belligerent tone, like their leader, while Dems are presenting themselves as the calm, grownup alternatives to the chaos in Washington.

In Tennessee, for example, the leading Republican Senate candidate, Rep. Marsha Blackburn, came out swinging with an introductory campaign spot that stopped just short of fire and brimstone.

She boasted of packing a pistol in her purse and embraced liberal epithets like “wing nut,” while calling herself “hard core” and “politically incorrect.” Her reference to efforts to stop “the sale of baby body parts” led Twitter to refuse the spot as a paid promotional ad because the language was too inflammatory.

Her likely Democratic opponent, former governor Phil Bredesen, kicked off his campaign with a video of himself speaking in dulcet tones while sitting on a porch, as calming piano music played in the background. He spoke of “working across party lines” and bringing “common sense back to our government.”

“The Democrats are going to have the enthusiasm because it is an anti-Trump year, so they don’t have to ramp up the base,” explained one Republican strategist working on midterm races.
 
David Duke isn’t running for office in 2018, but he’s encouraged by what he sees as a growing number of Republican congressional candidates who appear sympathetic to white supremacist causes or who are openly white supremacists themselves.

“I think it’s about time,” Duke said. “I think there’s a tremendous amount of frustration in the white community and that we’re at a tipping point.”


White Supremacist/Nazis running for office in 2018: (There presence on the ballot will energize their opponents, too)

Arthur Jones

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On Feb. 6, the Chicago Sun-Times reported that Arthur Jones, a longtime neo-Nazi, is poised to be the Republican nominee for a seat in Congress representing parts of Chicago and its suburbs.

Jones is running unopposed in the GOP primary, set for March 20, and is almost certain to lose in the general election. (The district he’s running to represent has voted for Democratic candidates in 24 of the last 25 elections.)

His campaign website includes a document called “The ‘Holocaust’ Racket,” which describes the well-documented genocide of 6 million Jews by German Nazis during World War II as “the biggest blackest lie in history.”

Jones told the Sun-Times he is a former leader of the American Nazi Party. Last year, he spoke in Kentucky at a gathering of the National Socialist Movement, a prominent neo-Nazi group.

This is the sixth time Jones has run for the Republican nomination. It will likely be his first time securing it.

Paul Nehlen
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Paul Nehlen is running to replace House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.). In December, HuffPost reported on Nehlen’s history of appearing on fascist white power podcasts and making racist and anti-Semitic remarks on social media. HuffPost asked Nehlen three times if he was a white nationalist. Twice, Nehlen didn’t deny it. The third time, he didn’t respond.

Prior to HuffPost’s article, Nehlen had campaigned for Senate candidate Roy Moore in Alabama, and had been the preferred candidate of former White House chief strategist and then-Breitbart News executive chairman Steve Bannon. Bannon has since denounced Nehlen, and Breitbart News has scrubbed its site of articles by and about him.

Nehlen has grown bolder with his bigotry since the start of 2018 ― particularly toward Jewish people. On Twitter, he posted a list of what he said were Jewish journalists from media outlets that had criticized him. He also tweeted: “Jesus is the Messiah. He is one and whole with the Holy Ghost. Jews (and others) who do not acknowledge this fact will burn in hell.”

Sean Donahue

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Sean Donahue is running to replace Rep. Lou Barletta (R-Pa.), who has his own entry on this list. In January, the Dauphin County Council of Republican Women invited Donahue to speak at a forum for Republican primary candidates. When the other candidates refused to appear at the forum with Donahue, the event was canceled.

In response, Donahue issued a nine-page statement on his campaign website expressing dismay that white people are becoming a minority in the U.S., and claiming that Black Lives Matter and Antifa are preparing an armed insurgency. He also defended his association with David Duke, whom he has featured as a guest on his online talk show.

In 2015, Donahue ran for mayor of Hazelton, Pennsylvania, as a member of the American Freedom Party, which the Southern Poverty Law Center describes as a white nationalist group.

Last year, Donahue was convicted of making terroristic threats against a local district attorney.

John Abarr
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John Abarr, a white supremacist who grabbed national headlines in 2014 for confusingly wanting to recruit black and LGBTQ people to the KKK, is running for the Montana state House of Representatives as a Democrat.

Abarr has run for office before, as a Republican. His current campaign website includes an apology to the “citizens of Montana for promoting bigotry and hate against minorities.”

But as noted by the Helena Independent Record, it says elsewhere on Abarr’s site that one of his key platforms is “pride and dignity for whites.” The site also calls for European Americans to be declared a protected class, claiming they are victims of “widespread discrimination and hatred.”
 
GOP should hold the Senate.

House I think is a tossup right now. Interested to see how the redistricting challenges in the courts pan out.
 
David Duke isn’t running for office in 2018, but he’s encouraged by what he sees as a growing number of Republican congressional candidates who appear sympathetic to white supremacist causes or who are openly white supremacists themselves.

“I think it’s about time,” Duke said. “I think there’s a tremendous amount of frustration in the white community and that we’re at a tipping point.”


White Supremacist/Nazis running for office in 2018: (There presence on the ballot will energize their opponents, too)

Arthur Jones

5a7db5472000004d00eae633.jpeg

On Feb. 6, the Chicago Sun-Times reported that Arthur Jones, a longtime neo-Nazi, is poised to be the Republican nominee for a seat in Congress representing parts of Chicago and its suburbs.

Jones is running unopposed in the GOP primary, set for March 20, and is almost certain to lose in the general election. (The district he’s running to represent has voted for Democratic candidates in 24 of the last 25 elections.)

His campaign website includes a document called “The ‘Holocaust’ Racket,” which describes the well-documented genocide of 6 million Jews by German Nazis during World War II as “the biggest blackest lie in history.”

Jones told the Sun-Times he is a former leader of the American Nazi Party. Last year, he spoke in Kentucky at a gathering of the National Socialist Movement, a prominent neo-Nazi group.

This is the sixth time Jones has run for the Republican nomination. It will likely be his first time securing it.

Paul Nehlen
5a7dbf501e0000dc007ab3dd.png

Paul Nehlen is running to replace House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.). In December, HuffPost reported on Nehlen’s history of appearing on fascist white power podcasts and making racist and anti-Semitic remarks on social media. HuffPost asked Nehlen three times if he was a white nationalist. Twice, Nehlen didn’t deny it. The third time, he didn’t respond.

Prior to HuffPost’s article, Nehlen had campaigned for Senate candidate Roy Moore in Alabama, and had been the preferred candidate of former White House chief strategist and then-Breitbart News executive chairman Steve Bannon. Bannon has since denounced Nehlen, and Breitbart News has scrubbed its site of articles by and about him.

Nehlen has grown bolder with his bigotry since the start of 2018 ― particularly toward Jewish people. On Twitter, he posted a list of what he said were Jewish journalists from media outlets that had criticized him. He also tweeted: “Jesus is the Messiah. He is one and whole with the Holy Ghost. Jews (and others) who do not acknowledge this fact will burn in hell.”

Sean Donahue

5a7db62c210000c300600c2e.png

Sean Donahue is running to replace Rep. Lou Barletta (R-Pa.), who has his own entry on this list. In January, the Dauphin County Council of Republican Women invited Donahue to speak at a forum for Republican primary candidates. When the other candidates refused to appear at the forum with Donahue, the event was canceled.

In response, Donahue issued a nine-page statement on his campaign website expressing dismay that white people are becoming a minority in the U.S., and claiming that Black Lives Matter and Antifa are preparing an armed insurgency. He also defended his association with David Duke, whom he has featured as a guest on his online talk show.

In 2015, Donahue ran for mayor of Hazelton, Pennsylvania, as a member of the American Freedom Party, which the Southern Poverty Law Center describes as a white nationalist group.

Last year, Donahue was convicted of making terroristic threats against a local district attorney.

John Abarr
5a7dc65d2000004d00eae676.jpeg

John Abarr, a white supremacist who grabbed national headlines in 2014 for confusingly wanting to recruit black and LGBTQ people to the KKK, is running for the Montana state House of Representatives as a Democrat.

Abarr has run for office before, as a Republican. His current campaign website includes an apology to the “citizens of Montana for promoting bigotry and hate against minorities.”

But as noted by the Helena Independent Record, it says elsewhere on Abarr’s site that one of his key platforms is “pride and dignity for whites.” The site also calls for European Americans to be declared a protected class, claiming they are victims of “widespread discrimination and hatred.”

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/white-supremacists-see-hope-in-obama-win/

Well Obama sure delivered on that hope and change.... for white nationalists. These people would be around even if Hillary won. In fact I think it would have been worse because they would have latched onto some conspiracy theory that Trump would throw out there to avoid taking blame for his loss.
 
GOP should hold the Senate.

House I think is a tossup right now. Interested to see how the redistricting challenges in the courts pan out.

I think House goes to the Dems (think they will pick up over 50 seats). Senate a toss-up.

Mid-terms are bad for the party in the White House. Closest thing we have to an Iron Law of American Politics. Main question is whether it is a wave or tsunami. I think big wave/little tsunami is what it looks like right now.

Anger seems to be a big factor, affecting motivation and turnout, in our recent elections. Looks like women will be the most angry/motivated group.
 
Dems have way too many Senate seats in Red States to defend. I wish they could pick off Cruz's seat in Texas, but TX ain't ready for that yet.

Donnelly's Indiana Seat.
Heidkamp's North Dakota seat.

Tester I think is ok in Montana.
McCaskill not sure yet.

Interested to see what happens to Manchin in WV.

Arizona and Nevada are two seats the Dems have a chance of taking. All depends on who turns out.
 
next time in a politically charged conversation someone - anyone- says " well, that'sjust California"
Bear this in mind
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Taniel‏Verified account @Taniel

100% reporting: Democrats have picked-up Florida's #HD72 district!

And by a comfortable margin of 7% (about 3,000 votes).

That's a net swing of 12% toward Democrats

compared to the 2016 presidential results.
 
Whitfield Larrabee
‏ @jwlarrabee
Feb 22


Dozens of Florida residents were killed in gun massacres while

Republicans took millions from the @NRA.

Never forget the Pulse nightclub & the Douglas High School massacres.

In 2018, We must defeat every Florida Republican who has taken @NRA money or opposed

#BanAssaultWeapons.


Let's add to that every Puerto Rican family , disenfranchised women and scattered (R) with half a brain.

Or plainly those of any political stripe still capable of saying, enough is enough
 
Whitfield Larrabee
‏ @jwlarrabee
Feb 22


Dozens of Florida residents were killed in gun massacres while

Republicans took millions from the @NRA.

Never forget the Pulse nightclub & the Douglas High School massacres.

In 2018, We must defeat every Florida Republican who has taken @NRA money or opposed

#BanAssaultWeapons.


Let's add to that every Puerto Rican family , disenfranchised women and scattered (R) with half a brain.

Or plainly those of any political stripe still capable of saying, enough is enough

Julio said the Dems dropped the ball completely after Sandy Hook by not passing new gun laws.

Would you agree?
 
My statement was based on my personal disappointment that Democrats didn't pursue gun control measures when they DID have control. It's a general dissatisfaction with the fact that gun control had been essentially a dead letter for Democrats for more than a decade, despite the NRA rhetoric. They certainly did advance measures after Sandy Hook, but had no power to advance them.
 
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