The Countdown...

I think the arb numbers are more interesting. We still have (correct me if I'm wrong) Medlen, Johnson, Heyward, Kimbrel, and Freeman are not signed yet. Not to mention Pena and Schafer.

Have to wonder if we're considering extensions.
 
Time sure has been flying by with this busy offseason!

I've occupied myself by coming up with a precise formula that tells you how big a budget you need to be a contending team as a function of how much homegrown cost-controlled talent you develop.

It goes like this:

B = 245 - 27*CC

B is budget in millions

CC = cost-controlled players contributions in WAR per class. There are six cost-controlled classes defined by service time from rookies to the ones in their last year before free agency.

The formula assumes non-cost controlled players cost 6M/win and that on average arbitration eligible players get paid half of their free agent market value.

A contending team is defined as one with an expected WAR of about 40.

Obviously, the better you are at developing cost-controlled talent the less budget you need to contend.
 
I think the arb numbers are more interesting. We still have (correct me if I'm wrong) Medlen, Johnson, Heyward, Kimbrel, and Freeman are not signed yet. Not to mention Pena and Schafer.

Have to wonder if we're considering extensions.

JFYI, Pena has already been signed. It was announced back when they announced re-signing Venters.
 
This is the guy I like to think of when I think of #33.

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I'm not really excited about pitchers and catchers reporting this year. I guess it's our lackluster offseason that's to blame.
 
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