I don't think the Mets would have a ton of interest in a deal with Newk as the centerpiece, tbh. He'll have used up his cheap control years and be nearing the end of his control years by the time they are ready to compete. He only comes with 3 extra years of control than DeGrom does.
He's a 50 with lots of control and significant BP risk. I would say he's worth in the neighborhood of $40M. He's in that grey area where he can no longer be valued as a risky pitching prospect, yet doesn't have enough of a MLB track record to make projections based on subtracting projected arbitration paydays from performance value. He would be a very strong secondary piece in a DeGrom package, but not the headliner.
Due to the struggles/injuries of Soroka, Gohara and Wright, the Braves don't have a headliner for a DeGrom package (other than Acuna and Ablies, which isn't happening). If one of those pitchers had taken a step forward this year, the Braves would likely have the FV 60 guy needed to get DeGrom...but it would have been silly to trade such a good young SP for an older SP.
Last edited by Enscheff; 07-09-2018 at 01:09 PM.
Some team may value him as a 10+ win guy over the next 5 years with a surplus value in the range of $70M.
That team could very well be the Braves. If that team isn’t the Braves, they would do well to trade him to that other team. I suspect that team would be one of the dumber teams in the league, so it’s possible the Mets are that team.
For Braves the one player is Allard -- part of Machado trade or for controllable reliever like Brad Hand.
http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/2...trade-deadline
While there, scroll down for the article on the shift. Very good interviews with players on the the thought process there.
thewupk (07-10-2018)