No...but as soon as three days ago when projections were off by tremendous amounts it shows you how bad they charted this virus.
Also, there were other states that showed decreases way before a shutdown could have impacted this.
There is absolutely zero chance a highly contagious virus was loose in NYC for 4 months and less than 2m people contracted it.
Just use basic logic and what you know of the boroughs. No chance.
I think Pence is really good at this
an article from the Atlantic:
Coronavirus Models Aren't Supposed to Be Righthttps://www.theatlantic.com/technolo...-right/609271/Every time the White House releases a COVID-19 model, we will be tempted to drown ourselves in endless discussions about the error bars, the clarity around the parameters, the wide range of outcomes, and the applicability of the underlying data. And the media might be tempted to cover those discussions, as this fits their horse-race, he-said-she-said scripts. Let’s not. We should instead look at the calamitous branches of our decision tree and chop them all off, and then chop them off again.
Sometimes, when we succeed in chopping off the end of the pessimistic tail, it looks like we overreacted. A near miss can make a model look false. But that’s not always what happened. It just means we won. And that’s why we model.
"For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman
"When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"
Wow this decision... on a "narrow technical issue" SCOTUS says Wisconsin voters waiting for their Absentee ballots under the extended window will only have their votes counted if they go out to the polls during the pandemic. You'll never guess which 5 were in the 5-4 majority. Hint, the winning party was "the Republican National Committee."
Tucker Carlson is ****ing brilliant and articulated just how little we know about Covid-19
Any degree = you have been lobotomized.
The idea that quarantine may have the same infection rate makes perfect sense.
What a shame that hydroxychloroquine wasnt used sooner.