jpx7 (06-08-2019)
Should I be as mad as I am at Snit for letting Soroka go out in the 9th to just pull him after one walk and then bring in a low end pen guy to give up that run. Either give that inning to winkler or give Soroka more lead way.
Coppy
I find it funny that even after "struggling" a bit with the bat that Acuna is still on pace for a 5-6 WAR season.
jpx7 (06-08-2019)
Especially considering the epic slumps we have witnessed over the years by our star players not named Freeman.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.
Indeed.
xwOBA takes it to a whole other level by assigning an offensive value to every event based on launch angle and exit velocity. This allows for a metric that strips away luck, ball park, sequencing, and defense from the equation.
With xwOBA, a pitcher is credited positively for a weakly hit grounder, even if his defense doesn't convert it into an out. The pitcher is also dinged for giving up a rocket even if it just so happened to be hit directly at an OFer for an out. It is currently the most predictive/descriptive of all pitching stats, and does the best job of truly identifying which pitcher is best.
What xwOBA doesn't do is tell you things like which pitcher would benefit most from improved defense. For example, two pitchers with xwOBA of .300...one is a high K and high BB guy, the other is a low K low BB guy. Stick the pitcher who gives up contact in front of a good defense, and the resultant ERA will be better than the guy who doesn't allow as much contact. In that case, you clearly want the contact guy if you have a good defense, and the K/BB guy if you don't.
Last edited by Enscheff; 06-08-2019 at 12:25 AM.
50PoundHead (06-08-2019), jpx7 (06-08-2019)
nsacpi (06-08-2019)
Man, look at the tunneling on these two pitches!
You wonder how someone ends up with a sub 3 FIP.
Natural Immunity Croc
Tunneling is one of the most important aspect of pitching. Making pitches start on the same plane for as long as possible. Fried needs one more pitch he can effectively throw 20% of the time. Change/slider/sinker gets him there.
Coppy
People need to grow a little skin in many instances. Enscheff has been on me for a couple of viewpoints, but I stand my ground and still respect his viewpoint even if it is opposed to mine. He's great with the advanced scouting metrics and he can call me a royal d*ckhead for all I care.
Tapate50 (06-08-2019)
Soroka pacing at slightly under 7 WAR.
Geez
Natural Immunity Croc
Freshmaker (06-08-2019), Tapate50 (06-08-2019)
Umm, not sure you can look up the values. At least not in some giant table. But maybe it’s there somewhere.
I do know they are created by taking the average outcome on all batted balls with similar launch angles and exit velocities. If a 100 mph hit at 11 degrees happened 200 times over the course of their sample, and resulted in 20 outs, 20 HRs, 60 doubles, and 100 singles, that’s the expected wOBA for all balls hit similarly.
I don’t see any room for bias of any sort in that type of analysis.
thankfully it appears Ronny is back on his bull****
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