MadduxFanII
Swallowed by Mark Bowman
While it is still relatively early, it would seem Freddie's decline phase has started. Current slash line of .286/.395/.444, good for an .839 OPS. His underlying stats support that as well, with his Avg EV and ISO at career lows, and very far off from recent years.
It remains to be seen what that decline will actually look however. Will he age like Votto and continue to be a useful hitter throughout the remainder of his contract, or will he basically be done as an everyday player by age 36, like Teixeira? I certainly wouldn't want to be paying 27 million per year over the next 3 years to find out.
I could certainly see Freeman glide-pathing to retirement with a few seasons where he looks like Mark Grace. He's the kind of guy who can always put bat to ball, and guys who can do that and have good eyes will always be able to draw a fair number of walks, even without power. That won't be living up to his contract, but that's how long-term contracts in baseball work.
There's a reason Freeman wanted six years, and there's a reason we weren't willing to give it to him.