2024 Field

sturg33 said:
Has the sampling changed since Harris jumped in the race?
Click to expand...

It has in that she is getting bigger share of white working class than Biden which is laughable on its face. But you continue to take these top lines without understanding.

I remember you going crazy when Biden caught Trump early in the year in what proved to be a short term blip till Trump took a monster lead. It’ll happen again and you’ll still fall for it if happens a third time.
 
sturg33 said:
Are you laughing about how you lectured us for a year that Biden was an unstoppable juggernaut, and any replacement would perform way worse?
Click to expand...

She will perform worse. I can’t help it that you’re weak and you keep falling for media narratives. Just keep listening to unfiltered boss of you want to continue to be wrong.
 
[tw]1822296083231363587[/tw]

Meanwhile idiots are black pilling while falling for the same media lies. It’s such a disappointment.
 
[tw]1822384436358324684[/tw]

There is now reasonable suspicion of altered photos as well as bossing people into rally’s and you fools think this “bump” is real or long lasting? Ok
 
nsacpi said:
It is only surprising to people who don't think white people have brains.
Click to expand...

Yeah things like the highest real wage increase in decades was a make believe story.

But you thinking this is real just makes it that much more obvious it isn’t. Even David axelrod basically laughed at this polls sampling methodology.
 
thethe said:
Should we list what you’ve believed and pushed?

How fast did you believe “the beast” stories?
Click to expand...

sure provided you list the number of convictions Mueller got, plus the information garnered that was later used in Trump criminal proceedings.

Oh yeah. Why did Don Jr. meet with that Russian in Trump Tower 2020 with the meentin heading I paraphrase " dirt on HRC" knowing full well campaign 101 is it is ilegal to obtain or use info from foreign countries or some such.

Pushed ?

I never posted or offered an opinion on Ms. Hutchinson's testimony regarding that.
I did watch her testimony and did offer an opinion on the next day on " experts" that got her story from the guy that pushed pizzagate ( that if memory serves you took hook, line and sinker.)
, but not what she said.
in lifes real time
But,
i gotta confess, it took a few minutes to know
wtf the " Beast incident" was.

Oh yeah, found your house.
Provided you ever go out

GUpTNf8XQAAGxfL


you also might want to start your defense of the $10M or B ? Egyptian
Either wy, even if it ws a Big Mac Fries and a Lg. Diet Coke
 
Last edited:
thethe said:
She will perform worse. I can’t help it that you’re weak and you keep falling for media narratives. Just keep listening to unfiltered boss of you want to continue to be wrong.
Click to expand...

You know me... a sucker for mainstream media narratives!

You've bashed us over the head this year with endless polls and now running away from them bc your god is losing to a ****ing retarded communist.

If he loses those race we better never hear from him again

But I'm glad nostromous thethe assures us that Kamala is a worse candidate than the corpse. 400+ EV incoming to the most popular preside tial candidate is US history, baby!
 
thethe said:
It has in that she is getting bigger share of white working class than Biden which is laughable on its face. But you continue to take these top lines without understanding.

I remember you going crazy when Biden caught Trump early in the year in what proved to be a short term blip till Trump took a monster lead. It’ll happen again and you’ll still fall for it if happens a third time.
Click to expand...

So polls are fake, then?
 
To contextualize the recent poll showing Harris up 15 in Miami-Dade.

Hillary won Miami-Dade by 29 points

Biden by 7 points

DeSantis by 11 points in 2022 after losing it by 21 points in 2018

It is what is sometimes called a "swingy" county. Meaning it moves more from one election to the next than most counties who have more stable voting patterns.

I don't think Harris should waste resources on Florida. But it is going to be a fairly close race there. And the Senate race is a sleeper for the Dems. And Proposition 4 seems likely to exceed the 60% threshold fairly easily.
 
Last edited:
thethe said:
It’s clear as day you don’t understand sampling but you’ll run this top line out because you’re damaged in the brain. This was a good poll for Trump but you can’t even understand why.
Click to expand...

You’re so very right. I, for one, love polls that show my preferred candidate is trailing by 4 points in perhaps the 3 biggest states in the election.
 
thethe said:
It has in that she is getting bigger share of white working class than Biden which is laughable on its face. But you continue to take these top lines without understanding.

I remember you going crazy when Biden caught Trump early in the year in what proved to be a short term blip till Trump took a monster lead. It’ll happen again and you’ll still fall for it if happens a third time.
Click to expand...

I think you’re forgetting that the White Working Class is also susceptible to vibes just like any other demographic. They’re not pro-Trump just because they all love him. As an overall group, they’ll ebb and flow where the rest of the country is. Maybe not to the same percent, but it’s not crazy.
 
mqt said:
I think you’re forgetting that the White Working Class is also susceptible to vibes just like any other demographic. They’re not pro-Trump just because they all love him. As an overall group, they’ll ebb and flow where the rest of the country is. Maybe not to the same percent, but it’s not crazy.
Click to expand...

No president was better for white working class for Trump in 50 years. They didn’t forget especially because it got much worse under Biden.
 
mqt said:
You’re so very right. I, for one, love polls that show my preferred candidate is trailing by 4 points in perhaps the 3 biggest states in the election.
Click to expand...

Again - the sampling methodology sampled a larger portion of Biden voters than the results of the 2020 election in those areas. So believe thr bull**** top line all you want. This poll likely indicates Trump up in all states.
 
mqt said:
I think you’re forgetting that the White Working Class is also susceptible to vibes just like any other demographic.
Click to expand...
Other polling has shown a slightly bigger shift among white voters in her direction (compared to Biden) than among minorities. It goes against the received wisdom but has been a persistent feature of the polls.

The place where the polls have matched the received wisdom is by age. Here her gains skew entirely young. But she hasn't lost ground relative to Biden among older voters.

A lot of older white voters appear open to voting for her.
 
Last edited:
nsacpi said:
To contextualize the recent poll showing Harris up 15 in Miami-Dade.

Hillary won Miami-Dade by 29 points

Biden by 7 points

DeSantis by 11 points in 2022 after losing it by 21 points in 2018

It is what is sometimes called a "swingy" county. Meaning it moves more from one election to the next than most counties who have more stable voting patterns.

I don't think Harris should waste resources on Florida. But it is going to be a fairly close race there. And the Senate race is a sleeper for the Dems. And Proposition 4 seems likely to exceed the 60% threshold fairly easily.
Click to expand...

Which poll and what did they have Biden at this point in 2020?
 
nsacpi said:
Other polling has shown a slightly bigger shift among white voters in her direction (compared to Biden) than among minorities. It goes against the received wisdom but has been a persistent feature of the polls.
Click to expand...

They are over sampling white college educated voters. But you do your thing.
 
thethe said:
The poll isn’t fake. You jus have to properly adjust to get the real top line.
Click to expand...

They're definitely using questionable methods. A democrat explains it

[tw]1822276163839946839[/tw]

A Trump pollster explains it as well

[tw]1822341064067260923[/tw]
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top