2024 Field

Tapate50 said:
You won’t get a straight answer, especially when you make sure they know she only came out with this idea when she found out she was dropping about 20 pts worth of black male vote a few days ago.

All they have is pandering not policy
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The way Harris is acting she knows the election isn't a coin flip like many believe.
 
Krgrecw said:
I actually agree with Cajun. The influx of immigrants and people who are moving from more liberal states to Texas , is a lot bigger number than you give it credit for. That’s a lot of future democratic votes
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As we have seen in Florida (who has had millions of implants from Northern liberal states over the decades), if you have competent leadership, you can generally sway most of those voters. It's unlikely Texas is getting a ton of super liberal implants. And immigrants can't vote.

I mean there is a reason these people are moving to these places in the first place, and it's not to drag their previous states liberal laws with them.
 
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Hispanics are moving towards Trump and downstream of that will be down ballot R's.

He will carry many to comfortable margins in highly populated hispanics states.
 
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Looks like coordinated media blitzkreig only lasts for about a month in the post trump era.

Prior to Trump the media would have successfully pushed kommela to a landslide victory.

Golden age is upon us boys.
 
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I hope the margins we are going to see in every state in comparison to 2020 will wake people up as to what actually happened in the 2020 election.
 
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I hope the margins we are going to see in every state in comparison to 2020 will wake people up as to what actually happened in the 2020 election.
 
Carp said:
You think 1 election during a pandemic is somehow evidence that VA us moving further Dem?

Care to wager on the VA and TX margins? Because I guarantee VA is substantially closer and Trump wins TX by at least 2 points better than he did in 2020.
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No, I am looking at far more than 1 election cycle. Trump has underperformed what Romney/McCain did in VA by 2-3 points. If Republicans ran a non-crazy candidate I think VA would be in play for them. Unfortunately that doesnt seem the route they are going for the foreseeable future. I think Trump wins Texas by 7-8 points which is 1-2 better than he did last time. It would be too close for me to make that bet with you but I would bet Trump loses VA by atleast 5 points. He has still yet to break 45% in VA. I wouldnt bet on it but I wont be surprised if Trump has a smaller margin of victory in Texas than he did in 2020.

Part of the reason I see Texas flipping first is because of the pace of new registered voters. VA has added from what I can see less than 300k new voters since 2020. Texas meanwhile has added 1.4 million new registered voters. For context Texas added 1.2 million new registered voters from 2000-2012. I would guess new voters in Texas are splitting 60/40 in favor of Democrats. That would be a 200k vote swing right there. Now I did pull that number completely out of my ass but its my prediction for how that breaks down.
 
Carp said:
As we have seen in Florida (who has had millions of implants from Northern liberal states over the decades), if you have competent leadership, you can generally sway most of those voters. It's unlikely Texas is getting a ton of super liberal implants. And immigrants can't vote.

I mean there is a reason these people are moving to these places in the first place, and it's not to drag their previous states liberal laws with them.
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I think the vast majority of people moving to Florida are old people which is Republican and Trumps bread and butter. In the same election where Trump got 51% of the vote the 15$ minimum wage got 60% of the vote. If voting for a higher minimum wage doesnt make a person liberal I dont know what does.
 
Tapate50 said:
What’s the point of reporting lies ?

lol

I feel like this is really common sense you are missing
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And who determines what are lies? Can the left media not unilaterally declare something a lie and not report on it but the right media can? What sense does that make. I think Bidens age would have been more of a story with the media if both candidates werent old farts with serious cognitive issues. I dont take issues with criticism of the media. I take issue with partisan criticism of the media. Does some media cover for the left, sure, does right media cover for the right? Oh hell yeah. In fact they have to because any right media that doesnt gets boycotted. Or do you not remember the whole Fox News Dominion **** where Fox News was caught saying they knew the election fraud claims were BS but felt they had to cover for Trump so their Republican viewers wouldnt turn on them.
 
Carp said:
Sooo the one major news outlet that is right leaning was..... correct. While the rest were silent or mocked anyone that said Biden wasn't fit.

And you somehow think this point FAVORS your argument.

Yikes.
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Tell you what, show me the reporting by right leaning media having a discussion about Trumps cognitive decline and mental issues. Show me right wing media calling out Trump for claiming he passed an acuity test when it was a test to see if he had dementia. Show me the right wing media demanding those test results released. If Biden took a cognitive test, said he aced it, and refused to release the results we both know right wing media would be demanding it was released, and even after it was released would claim it was fake or rigged. Much like the birth certificate.
 
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Surely BL will come here as will the rest of the leftists and admit they were wrong righ?
 
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