Early voting.

cajunrevenge

cajunrevenge

Well-known member
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

Heres a site tracking early voting and mail in voting.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/elections/early-voting-results.html

Heres the results for comparison from last time.

PA 2024 -so far 64% Registered Dems. 25% Registered Rep. 9% other so far.

PA 2020 - 63/25/9 was the final results.

I cant find stats for age/gender from 2020 but so far in PA 2024 a whopping 79% of mailin/early votes are 50 or older. I feel like that favors Trump but gender breakdown is 56% women 43% men.

Arizona 2024- so far 35% Dem 44% Rep. 21% Other-

Arizona 2020- 35/36/29 -

8% less Other looks like it went all to Rep. 82% 50 and older. Gender breakdown is about 50/50. Very good sign for Agent Orange
 
Lines were long at 1030 am. Mostly African Americans. One woman the poll worker accused of being there already the day before but “she had to leave to do some business” and he let her back in
 
Except for Nevada, I don't think there is an established pattern to the state data that would allow us to compare 2024 early voting results to say 2020 or 2016 in a reliable way.
 
Probably about 5-6% but some might have left the GOP to begin with. The bigger question imo is how many will stay home and not vote at all.
 
Republicans seem to have the momentum in early voting from everything I have looked at. I wonder if Republicans are gaining or perhaps they are just voting earlier this time around. No one wants to hear about long lines on election day when everyone has all this time to vote early. Republicans put a big focus on driving out early vote so there is a reason to believe that might be true. I think the PA is going to be the difference maker this election. I know, bold. I notice early results show Republicans make up 30% of mail in ballots requested but only 28% of the returned ballots. A 2% difference like that could make or break it. Maybe that means Republicans just have more to return. I cant imagine people request a ballot to not vote but I know inevitably some people will not send them in. Might be overthinking it.
 
At the risk of looking like thethe let me double down a little. Republican leaning polls are flooding the polling average. 2 Ipsos national polls has Kamala leading 48/45 and 46/43. Which is really a coin flip as she probably needs to win by atleast 4% nationally.
 
Who did? The guy who voted by mail? I have a tip for him about some potential voter fraud. Word has theres this convicted felon in Florida who plans to vote. Probably by mail.
 
thethe said:
I've read some analysis that suggested in upwards of 15-20M ballots were fraudulent across the country.
Click to expand...

"I've read" your BS for years. Doesn't make any of it true.

Donnie the Con Man has lost a significant chunk of his main demographic, the white no-college male vote, since 2016 and the trend is clear --- downward. He's also lost a big percentage of the Evangelical vote. He may have picked up some new Black and Hispanic votes but the overall looks like a net loss. Add on top of that the blue wave of angry women and the young bolstered by the Swifties, and I just don't see how he can improve his totals from 2020. Even with some Republican officials willing to lie and cheat for him.

I'm picking Kamala by 2 touchdowns.
 
Runnin said:
"I've read" your BS for years. Doesn't make any of it true.

Donnie the Con Man has lost a significant chunk of his main demographic, the white no-college male vote, since 2016 and the trend is clear --- downward. He's also lost a big percentage of the Evangelical vote. He may have picked up some new Black and Hispanic votes but the overall looks like a net loss. Add on top of that the blue wave of angry women and the young bolstered by the Swifties, and I just don't see how he can improve his totals from 2020. Even with some Republican officials willing to lie and cheat for him.

I'm picking Kamala by 2 touchdowns.
Click to expand...

You a betting man?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top