The War to Settle the Score - Election Day 2024

[cajunrevenge]

Montana and Utah called for Trump. Now 108 to 220. We are about to get down the nitty gritty.

 

[thethe]

[tw]1853997681695175114[/tw]

 

[Carp]

New Jersey only at 7.1 point lead for Kamala with 72% reporting. Biden won NJ by 16 points in 2020.

 

[cajunrevenge]

Arizona opens with Kamala in the lead and NM opens with Trump in the lead. Arizona might be more in play than I thought. I doubt NM is in any danger of flipping.

 

[acesfull86]

Georgia - Trump ahead 90-10 in the betting market on Kalshi, FWIW

 

[cajunrevenge]

Decision Desk has Trump close to winning WI? 55/43 with greater than 95% reporting? Wut.

 

[sturg33]

Georgia - Trump ahead 90-10 in the betting market on Kalshi, FWIW

He's favorite for popular vote according to my brother but I don't see that market

 

[chop2chip]

He's favorite for popular vote according to my brother but I don't see that market

The NYT Needle has Trump slight favorite.

Would be nice to avoid electoral college discourse at least

 

[cajunrevenge]

Decision Desk has Trump close to winning WI? 55/43 with greater than 95% reporting? Wut.

I guess it was an error. Went back to 33% reporting and vote is split.

 

[Carp]

Cruz gonna win re-election by 7 points. Trump taking TX by 13 points right now.

 

[Krgrecw]

Sounds like Trump might have Pennsylvania. He’s gotter margins in blue cities than he did four years ago

 

[acesfull86]

He's favorite for popular vote according to my brother but I don't see that market

I see it now on Kalshi when I click on the Election 2024 tab. The numbers are staggering right now:

Trump to win election 90-10
Trump to win popular vote 63-37
Republican sweep 80%

Polymarket similar

 

[thethe]

Its such an embarrassment that Arizona counts their ballot batches over days.

 

[thethe]

I see it now on Kalshi when I click on the Election 2024 tab. The numbers are staggering right now:

Trump to win election 90-10
Trump to win popular vote 63-37
Republican sweep 80%

Polymarket similar

Not looking great for team coin flip right now...

 

[chop2chip]

If Trump pulls off popular vote, I’ll hand it to thethe for getting that one right.

 

[Carp]

Iowa called.

 

[thethe]

Iowa called.

Threw away her reputation to help the left.

She will get a cushy job at a university somewhere.

 

[chop2chip]

Kinda crazy we could have a Harris EC win, Trump popular vote win.

The irony of it all

 

[thethe]

Whoa - Decision desk pulled their call on VA?

 

[thethe]

[tw]1853984186933346365[/tw]

Golden age - Long term realignment.