GDT 8-18: White Sox at Braves

Profar has always had a good walk rate. The roids added good exit velocity to that good walk rate.

Now he still has that good walk rate, is back to his pre-roids exit velocity, and is getting a little lucky on balls in play. His .322 xwOBA is right in line with pre-roid seasons, and a good bit below his roid-fueled .364 from last year.

So while the end results look similar to 2024, the more predictive inputs are quite a bit weaker, which means he is a negative regression candidate. If he regresses to a .240/.320/.400 hitter in 2026 he will be far from the Braves biggest roster problem.
 
So Snit said he took Harris out to give his legs a break but left the guy in that has the worst legs on the team and just came back from calf and Achilles tightness lol. If they bring this guy back for a 50th (I'm afraid they will) we are doomed and have wasted another year of the window and Ronald.
 
Predictions:
Braves will win 75 games
Will pick 14th or worse in the upcoming 2026 draft
Milwaukee Brewer wins ROY ending our hope for another 1st round pick
Snit is brought back for a 50th and final year in the organization
Troy Snitker is co-hitting coach and manager in waiting for 2027 after Snit takes a cozy job in the front office
AA can't spend the money he wants because of Terry McGuirk, the real estate mogul.
 
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Hudson2 said:
So Snit said he took Harris out to give his legs a break but left the guy in that has the worst legs on the team and just came back from calf and Achilles tightness lol. If they bring this guy back for a 50th (I'm afraid they will) we are doomed and have wasted another year of the window and Ronald.
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Does dude even know what planet he is on?
 
Harris OPS now at .706
. He was at .551 at the ASB. Thats 30 games with an OPS of 1.145. Literally doubled his OPS. Thats good for 2.2 WAR with his defense. Thats like a 12 WAR pace.
 
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WaitingFor2017 said:
Predictions:
Braves will win 75 games
Will pick 14th or worse in the upcoming 2026 draft
Milwaukee Brewer wins ROY ending our hope for another 1st round pick
Snit is brought back for a 50th and final year in the organization
Troy Snitker is co-hitting coach and manager in waiting for 2027 after Snit takes a cozy job in the front office
AA can't spend the money he wants because of Terry McGuirk, the real estate mogul.
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I know you are being funny, but it's super unlikely to pick 14th with 75 wins. 75 wins should net us a Top 10 pick based on recent years.
 
Luckily Bryce Elder is starting tonight. That should spot the ChiSox at least 4 runs. If the Braves BP stays consistent, that's probably another 2 runs at least.

If we're gonna lose, I'd like to see our long term pieces excel and the Quad A players and soon to be FAs completely shit the bed.
 
Hudson2 said:
What pick do we need to be in the lottery?
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Technically, every team that doesn't make the playoffs is in the lottery. But the Nationals, Angels, Rockies and Cardinals are ineligible to draft within the first 9 spots due to either drafting top 5 this year or participating in the lottery for 2 consecutive years. The worse position you finish in the league, the higher your draft odds are for getting the 1st overall.

Right now, we have the 4th best odds to get the No. 1 overall pick and we would have very strong odds to at least get a top 6 pick.
 
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That's one reason I don't think Snit will be back. If he does and the season goes south again then AA is out and he's not gonna stick his neck out.
 
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