GDT #53, 5/29/'14: Braves (Minor) vs. Red Sox (Peavy), 7:10 EST

nsacpi

Expects Yuge Games
Braves
1. Heyward RF
2. BJ Upton CF
3. Freeman 1B
4. J Upton LF
5. Gattis C
6. Johnson 3B
7. Doumit DH
8. La Stella 2B
9. Simmons SS
Pitching: Minor

Red Sox
1. Holt 3B
2. Bogaerts SS
3. Pedroia 2B
4. Ortiz DH
5. Gomes LF
6. Sizemore RF
7. Lavarnway 1B
8. Ross C
9. Bradley Jr. CF
Pitching: Peavy
 
Hopefully the team actually wins the game tonight... there's been so many wasted opportunities the last 3 nights... need a win tonight. Hopefully TLS gets a couple more hits!
 
I know I've said that I'm not putting much stock into this series, but we really need this one.

Please win.
 
See where ESPN is all over this game as well. Cosmic forces aligned against Braves. No way in hell Atlanta wins this game tonight. Expecting the first blowout of the series. Minor's gopher ball in Fenway is a toxic combination.

But I'll say if Fredi could wake up and flip La Stella and BJK, then the batting order would be solid.
 
Yeah because that's just what this lineup needs...all 3 LHers hitting back to back to back.

Assuming TLS can put up a .340-.350 OBP, Jason is back to putting up .350+ OBP, the lineup should probably be something closer to

TLS
Justin
Freeman
Gattis
Heyward
BJ
CJ
Simmons
 
See where ESPN is all over this game as well.

I thought tonight's game was on NESN? (And it's a serious question, to be clear; if it's on ESPN, I might actually get to watch it.)
 
Plugging in the following numbers in the lineup analysis tool (OBP/SLG):

Heyward .350/.400
Justin .375/.500
Freeman .390/.500
Gattis .290/.500
BJ .290/.350
CJ .320/.320
TLS .350/.350
Simmons .300/.400
pitcher .150/.150

and throwing out any lineups where Freeman bats leadoff, the top lineups are:

4.442 Heyward Freeman CJ Gattis Justin Simmons BJ pitcher TLS
4.442 Heyward Justin CJ Gattis Freeman Simmons BJ pitcher TLS
4.441 TLS Freeman Heyward Gattis Justin Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
4.441 TLS Justin Heyward Gattis Freeman Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
4.441 Heyward Freeman TLS Gattis Justin Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
4.441 Heyward Justin TLS Gattis Freeman Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
4.440 Heyward Freeman CJ Gattis Justin BJ Simmons pitcher TLS
4.440 Heyward Justin CJ Gattis Freeman BJ Simmons pitcher TLS
4.440 TLS Freeman Heyward Gattis Justin BJ Simmons pitcher CJ
4.440 TLS Justin Heyward Gattis Freeman BJ Simmons pitcher CJ
4.439 Heyward Freeman TLS Gattis Justin BJ Simmons pitcher CJ
4.439 Heyward Justin TLS Gattis Freeman BJ Simmons pitcher CJ
4.439 Justin Freeman CJ Gattis Heyward Simmons BJ pitcher TLS
4.438 Justin Freeman TLS Gattis Heyward Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
4.437 Justin Freeman CJ Gattis Heyward BJ Simmons pitcher TLS
4.437 Justin Freeman TLS Gattis Heyward BJ Simmons pitcher CJ
4.428 Justin Freeman Heyward Gattis TLS Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
4.427 Justin Heyward CJ Gattis Freeman Simmons BJ pitcher TLS

We can immediately throw out any lineups with CJ in the top half, realize that Justin is not leading off, and remove any with the LHers hitting 3 in a row, leaving us with:

1) 4.441 TLS Justin Heyward Gattis Freeman Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
2) 4.441 Heyward Justin TLS Gattis Freeman Simmons BJ pitcher CJ
3) 4.440 TLS Justin Heyward Gattis Freeman BJ Simmons pitcher CJ
4) 4.439 Heyward Justin TLS Gattis Freeman BJ Simmons pitcher CJ

It's pretty clear that Justin hits 2nd, Gattis hits 4th, Freeman hits 5th, Simmons and BJ hit 6/7, pitcher hits 8th, and CJ hits 9th. The only postions that are unclear is TLS or Heyward in the 1and 3 holes, so I personally stick Heyward in the 3 hole and go with option #3. If someone has a major fit about the pitcher batting 8th, go ahead and slot CJ between BJ and Simmons.
 
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