msstate7
Well-known member
May not be great, but coupled with his defense, it looks fine to me
8/28 Braves @ Giants
- Thread starter Garmel
- Start date
May not be great, but coupled with his defense, it looks fine to me
Tapate50
Well-known member
Just the nature of relievers. Streaky.
yeezus
It's OVER 5,000!
That plus his defense makes it plenty good.
From 2013-2015 Heyward had a .654 OPS against lefties. You wanted to give him over $20M per. Interesting.
His numbers vs. righties were much better though.
BRef has splits for all that stuff. Here are some of Kemp's OPS values:
Career: .827 OPS
RISP: .842
3rd less than 2 outs: .856
Bases loaded, 0 outs: .220
1st and 3rd, 1 out: .808
Maybe the Braves should let the runner on 2nd get picked off whenever Kemp comes to the plate with the bases loaded?
The point, which has been proven numerous times, is that RBIs are a function of guys being on base in front of hitters, and sequencing. Kemp's RBI came about because Inciarte walked and Freeman hit a single that moved Inciarte to 3rd. If Inciarte had singled and Freeman walked, suddenly Kemp's flyball is meaningless.
There is no evidence that a guy "just knows how to drive in runs". You put high OBP guys in front of high power guys and runs are scored. The more guys you have on base, and the more power hitters produce, the more runs you score. The luck part is in the sequencing, and nobody can plan for that other than by optimizing lineup construction.
msstate7
Well-known member
Thanks for looking it up, but I was talking about a stat that keeps up with conversion rate of picking up rbi with a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs. I've looked with no luck.
Like some guy has an innate ability to hit a fly ball on command? I think I'll just stick with the best hitter possible and let the sac flies happen whenever they do. I want a guy getting a hit with a runner on 3rd, not trying to hit a sac fly.
msstate7
Well-known member
Well, you know a hit would drive the run in too.
Yes, which is why I posted his OPS in various situations. The notion that some guys "just know how to drive runs in" is a myth.
msstate7
Well-known member
Maybe it is a myth, but I think there's guys that come through in rbi spots better than others. Perhaps one guy comes up with the plan to just do what it takes to get that run in while another comes up trying to hit a hr and k's. Could I be wrong? Sure, I could... I am often. Could you be wrong? Oh no, never have you been wrong about anything
Well, Enscheff provided you a location to go find the data. All you have to do is look up those numbers with a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs, and compare the number of RBI produced to the number of plate appearances in that situation to figure out their percentage. Then you can compare Kemp's numbers to whoever you want.
msstate7
Well-known member
I looked and kemp has 40 PAs (26 ABs) with runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs. He has 33 rbi. Pretty solid