All season I've figured the Braves to lose between 102 and 108 games. What do you think the odds are that we can lose fewer than 100? I mean it'd still be a horrible season but not 100 loss bad. With 53 wins right now, we'd only have to win 10 the rest of the way. With the way we've been hitting and a solid bullpen, you'd think we could at least do that.
That, folks, was a man named Jed.
If they go .500 the rest of the way, they'd be 66-96, which is right about where I thought they would be. My only guess was < 70 wins.
Hard to know how September will go. After the Phils' series, home-and-aways with the Nats, Marlins, and Mets (18 games total). We then end with three against the Phils and three against the Tigers. So, all told, 21 games against teams that are contending for a playoff spot. If we keep hitting, .500 may be possible, but that has to be balanced against the fact that a bulk of the games we'll be playing will be against teams that are playing for something.
We have done this against a couple of crappy teams. I really hope we can "at least" retain the 2nd pick. Begining to think we could be pretty decent next year with the right moves.
If there is no Godzilla in next year's draft, having pick 3-5 would be an advantage of sorts because the first overall pick might well command a bonus out of proportion to how much better they are than the next 2-3 picks. That money can be spread around, as the Braves proved this year.
Hadn't thought about that angle. It's a lottery chance as to whether the first pick will be as good or better than the second, anyway.
Again. The extra bonus pool money is the best part of #1