Interesting point. So the TV gun is 2-3 mph above reality?
8/26... Rockies game 2
- Thread starter msstate7
- Start date
Interesting point. So the TV gun is 2-3 mph above reality?
Oh there's no doubt it's fun to watch Albies now, just like it was fun to watch Swanson last year.
Won't be so fun when the cost of that fun hits the Braves in the middle of their contention window though.
TV gun is usually off by 0.5 MPH, and then rounded up. So a real 93.7 fastball is registered at 94.2 and then rounded up to 95 for the TV graphic. Same way college basketball players have their height reported in the program...add an inch and round up.
Newk averages 93.3. His real typical range in a game is 91-95.
This discussion aside, until Newk develops a credible third pitch to go with his FB and curve, he's gong to have no margin for error at this level IMO.
Odd thing is he started throwing the change a few starts ago. I haven't been keeping track, but this is the first start in a while I remember him abandoning it again.
It is very rare for SPs to have sustained success with only 2 pitches.
It is very rare for an SP to succeed when walking more than 3.5 per 9.
It is very rare for 24 year old pitchers who walk 5+ per 9 to improve their command to the 3.5 range.
The odds are stacked heavily against Newk being a SP. He will likely get 10-20 more starts next year and then be pushed to the BP by the next wave of young pitchers.
It is very rare for an SP to succeed when walking more than 3.5 per 9.
It is very rare for 24 year old pitchers who walk 5+ per 9 to improve their command to the 3.5 range.
The odds are stacked heavily against Newk being a SP. He will likely get 10-20 more starts next year and then be pushed to the BP by the next wave of young pitchers.
GeorgiaGirl
NL Rookie of the Year
Albies almost went oppo for a HR, with his size, my goodness.
So long relief for Newk (and we lose Wisler) or some other scenario?
I can't imagine that not being changed to a hit and an error once the official scorer comes to his senses.
Albies is a completely different situation from Swanson though, there was no credible reason for Albies to be in AAA at the start of next season (outside of just trying to save money). Albies would have spent an entire season and a half at AAA by that point, so he was always going to be starting the season as the starting 2B unless traded. So his control time being used right now really means nothing (unless he somehow sucks next year and gets sent back to AAA).
WaitingFor2017
Well-known member
Nah. Snit thought it was the 8th inning. He'll now throw Ramirez out there a second inning.
Promoting Albies was slightly less dumb than promoting Swanson, so we agree there. Lower the bar enough and all moves are defensible.
Like I say every time this topic comes up, we will see how happy folks are 5 years from now when both Albies and Swanson each cost $10M-$15M more apiece, or are lost altogether via FA.
We will see just how much bitching and moaning folks do when they realize a team with a $150M payroll can't afford to make the additions needed to improve a contending team.
We will see if the same people defending these moves now still think it was worth it when the Braves lose these guys a year early, or have to skimp in other areas of the roster to afford to keep them.