2018 Offseason And Targets

Status
Not open for further replies.
BeanieAntics said:
You'd be surprised how small the correlation is between regular season success and playoff success.

https://www.principallyuncertain.com/mlb-playoffs-crapshoot/

So like I said, the goal should be to make the playoffs because everything that happens after that is largely random.
Click to expand...

I doubt CrazyDerp will admit he once again has no idea what he's talking about though.

The key takeaway from the article is what everyone already knew:

However, teams with a higher payroll do tend to be the ones that make the playoffs in the first place, with the average playoff team spending 0.55 standard deviations above the league average payroll for that year. So while cold hard cash doesn’t guarantee glory, it does help buy a chance at it. More lottery tickets generally equals more championships.
 
Enscheff said:
Franmil is certainly the guy to be targeting, but he is very hard to place a value on. Will the hit tool allow his power to play up enough to make up for his below average OF defense?

Renfroe is another guy who could be a decent addition, but not a true difference maker in an everyday role.

Both guys bat RHed, and both guys hit the ball harder than anyone currently on the roster. I wouldn't give up too much for either though.

The other option is Meyers and the 3/60 he's owed from 2020-2022.

I think I just talked myself out of acquiring a Padre OFer.
Click to expand...

Margot.
 
JxnMissFan said:
Peller is truly the dumbest GM in the game. Signing Machado locked in third place in the NL West. Lol

Meyers is still cheap this year but in 2020 Meyers, Hosmer and Machado will account for close to 75 million in payroll. I’m wondering how Peller will fill out the team.

In three years Peller will be begging teams to take Machado salary relief.
Click to expand...

How dumb is he? Could AA convince him Teheran would do well in their park?
 
BeanieAntics said:
You'd be surprised how small the correlation is between regular season success and playoff success.

https://www.principallyuncertain.com/mlb-playoffs-crapshoot/

So like I said, the goal should be to make the playoffs because everything that happens after that is largely random.
Click to expand...

Not going to read all of that to see if they address these questions but:

1. Regular season and playoff involve very different competition.

2. There are fewer very high win teams in playoffs than moderate win teams.

3. Playoff teams often have added pieces to team that may make them better than a season win total would suggest. The marlins a couple of times come to mind. Wild care team with big deadline adds.

4. The best team has the best chance of winning a single event even if it goes the other way. Always better to be the house even if you don’t beat everyone that sits down.
 
Southcack77 said:
Not going to read all of that to see if they address these questions but:

1. Regular season and playoff involve very different competition.

2. There are fewer very high win teams in playoffs than moderate win teams.

3. Playoff teams often have added pieces to team that may make them better than a season win total would suggest. The marlins a couple of times come to mind. Wild care team with big deadline adds.

4. The best team has the best chance of winning a single event even if it goes the other way. Always better to be the house even if you don’t beat everyone that sits down.
Click to expand...

Hey guys, I didn't bother to read it, but here are my counterpoints!
 
Chico said:
I raw that on Reddit, but I think this is spin city by the FO to make it look like we did make an effort to upgrade the roster.
Click to expand...

Offering 3/90 when the winning bid was 10/300 doesn't qualify as trying...it would be a waste of Machado's time to even respond to it.

If they are going to lie, they should at least make the offer seem like a reasonable alternative...higher AAV for a shorter term.
 
Enscheff said:
Offering 3/90 when the winning bid was 10/300 doesn't qualify as trying...it would be a waste of Machado's time to even respond to it.

If they are going to lie, they should at least make the offer seem like a reasonable alternative...higher AAV for a shorter term.
Click to expand...

It's a spin job by somebody. A 3/90 bid only makes sense if you think he's getting low AAV but high year offers which has been speculated on by the slow market. That said the Braves would have only had the 30 million to offer him before they signed JD when any talk of that was nonsense.
 
My brain is still trying to understand how SD went from being a bottom 10 payroll team to giving Hosmer $144M and then Machado the largest FA contract in the history of MLB.

Meanwhile, the Braves are crying poor 2 years after opening up a brand new Braves City.
 
Enscheff said:
My brain is still trying to understand how SD went from being a bottom 10 payroll team to giving Hosmer $144M and then Machado the largest FA contract in the history of MLB.

Meanwhile, the Braves are crying poor 2 years after opening up a brand new Braves City.
Click to expand...

Simple. Machado will be playing for the Yankees in 3 years when the Padres fail. It's the Marlins Model.
 
bravesfanforlife88 said:
There’s a rumor the braves offered Machado a 3 year $90m deal...but took the offer off the table just before he signed
Click to expand...

051bbe8b85a60381283c0ac069f017b61fecb-v5-wm.jpg
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top