Official Offseason Thread

Save your arguments for the Council of Sabermetriceae. You're gonna need it Arius.

How'd that Council do with their prediction about Moose's deal? d'Arnaud's? Gibson's? The Abreu extension? Or that AA would sign Smith and Martin?

Apparently they're no more in the loop than the rest of us.
 
If the blurbs that Rendon is going to sign sooner rather than later are true, this is all liable to shake itself out pretty quickly. If Rendon signs with the Rangers or Dodgers and the Rangers/Dodgers/Phillies/Gnats gobble Donaldson up, AA may have no choice other than to sign Ozuna and platoon someone with Riley or Camargo if he wants to have a legitimate middle of the order bat behind Freddie - who else is out there???

I don't think ANYONE wants to commit 4/$100 million to Donaldson but I said last week that that's probably what it's going to take, and I still believe that.

You keep posting the same thing multiple times a day. We know you want Ozuna and a platoon of Riley/Shaw at third. You don’t need to keep posting it every 5 posts on the thread. We get it.

I have a very bad feeling the Braves are going to bring in some reclamation project like Maikel Franco to stick at 3B.
 
Skeeter31;654465[B said:
]You keep posting the same thing multiple times a day. We know you want Ozuna and a platoon of Riley/Shaw at third. You don’t need to keep posting it every 5 posts on the thread. We get it. [/B]

I have a very bad feeling the Braves are going to bring in some reclamation project like Maikel Franco to stick at 3B.

You missed the master plan. The Riley/Shaw platoon is just a temporary solution that showcases Riley until we are able to include him with a package of prospects in a trade for an ace.
Clubs are always looking to acquire a young platoon bat.
 
Keep kidding yourself. Add Moose and Didi to that offense and bring Hamilton back on the cheap to replace Senzel defensively in close games and they're the favorites to win the Central. Add Wheeler to that rotation and they've got a chance to beat anybody in a playoff series.

Lol ok boomer.

Most will disagree that you just described a 15+ game improvement over their 2019 win total, but keep blabbering.
 
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I'm still pretty anti-Bumgarner, but this stuff from Rosenthal is at least somewhat interesting:

"Even more intriguing to the analytically inclined — which now includes pretty much every club — the increase in Bumgarner’s spin rate on his four-seam fastball from 2018 to ’19 was the biggest in the entire sport. The upward tick in Bumgarner’s stuff overall suggests that, like Wheeler, he might need only to harness it properly to further bolster his performance. Analytics can help guide him in that regard, offering ideas on how to best use and locate his pitches."

I thought this was interesting too. But I read this and think, "Hey, that's a guy I wouldn't mind taking a cheap flyer on" and not "Hey, that's a guy I want to give four years and big money."
 
How'd that Council do with their prediction about Moose's deal? d'Arnaud's? Gibson's? The Abreu extension? Or that AA would sign Smith and Martin?

Apparently they're no more in the loop than the rest of us.

Not sure what council you are referring to, but no one is 100 percent accurate. But the experts have been pretty damn close on several contracts so far. Certainly way closer than any of your hair-brained predictions thus far (of which there are many).
 
But their Pythagorean was 80-82, so they really only need 10 wins...

Reds were 23-33 in 1 run games so that should improve a little. BRef and Fangraphs both had them at 77 wins according to WAR.

Right now depth charts has them as an 80 win team after adding Moose. Adding Didi and Wheeler would push them to around 84 wins. That's a range that can definitely compete for a WC spot if things go right.
 
But their Pythagorean was 80-82, so they really only need 10 wins...

And their 3rd Order Win% had them at 86 wins, so they really only need 4! Unfortunately their 1st Order Win% had them at 79 wins so now they are back to 11. BUT! Their 2nd Order Win% had them at 85 so they're still fine. Unfortunately their actual record was 75-87 so they are back to needing 15.
 
Yes, fans are stupid.

Charlie
3:04 Was Culberson being non-tendered a shrewd move by the Braves?
Steve Adams
3:05 He was a strict pinch-hitter/defensive replacement last year projected to earn almost $2MM, and he OBP'ed like .290 in 2019. He's not exactly irreplaceable -- popular as he was in Atlanta.

(Which is funny, because for the first two months of the 2018 season I had Braves fans lamenting what a waste of space Culberson was in every chat I hosted)
 
Reds were 23-33 in 1 run games so that should improve a little. BRef and Fangraphs both had them at 77 wins according to WAR.

Right now depth charts has them as an 80 win team after adding Moose. Adding Didi and Wheeler would push them to around 84 wins. That's a range that can definitely compete for a WC spot if things go right.

This is roughly where I'm at with them as well, but the Reds are a team that has an extremely wide range of potential outcomes. They have a lot of uncertainty in that outfield, but also a good bit of upside. They need a lot to go right with their young players like Aquino, Ervin, Senzel, and Winker. If they can get good years from them and add Wheeler to that rotation, I could see them being a WC threat.
 
Yes, fans are stupid.

Charlie
3:04 Was Culberson being non-tendered a shrewd move by the Braves?
Steve Adams
3:05 He was a strict pinch-hitter/defensive replacement last year projected to earn almost $2MM, and he OBP'ed like .290 in 2019. He's not exactly irreplaceable -- popular as he was in Atlanta.

(Which is funny, because for the first two months of the 2018 season I had Braves fans lamenting what a waste of space Culberson was in every chat I hosted)

Fans are dumb. It's why they are called fanatics.
 
This is roughly where I'm at with them as well, but the Reds are a team that has an extremely wide range of potential outcomes. They have a lot of uncertainty in that outfield, but also a good bit of upside. They need a lot to go right with their young players like Aquino, Ervin, Senzel, and Winker. If they can get good years from them and add Wheeler to that rotation, I could see them being a WC threat.

Can't overlook the fact that the Brewers, at this point at least, will go into the season weaker on paper. The Cubs are also a year older, coming off a year they missed the playoffs.....

The Reds should be very competitive in that division
 
Lol ok boomer.

Most will disagree that you just described a 15+ game improvement over their 2019 win total, but keep blabbering.

They need to improve 15 games to catch who? The Brewers? The Pirates? The Cubs who have no money to spend?
 
I thought this was interesting too. But I read this and think, "Hey, that's a guy I wouldn't mind taking a cheap flyer on" and not "Hey, that's a guy I want to give four years and big money."

Then again....I bet he wouldn’t crap his pants and give up ten runs in the first inning....so there’s that.
 
I know you can call me crazy but there rumors Milwaukee are listening to trade offers for Josh Hader. They non tendered Travis Shaw or Jimmy Nelson. Grandal and Moustakas walk away. We should make a big offer for Christian Yelich.
 
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