2020 Field

57Brave said:
Ken Tremendous
@KenTremendous
·
5h
The car and boat caravans for Trump are perfect encapsulations of his tenure.

No ideas, no causes, no ethos. Nothing behind the gathering at all.

Just "make other people feel uneasy."

Make noise and scream and rage and yell and intimidate.

100% pure, uncut, assholery.
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Hmmm where have I heard this before ?

By Ken Tremendous .... lol. This guy a porn star?
 
Carp said:
I would wager they are worried about the multitude of actual Trump supporters claiming they are taking up arms if Trump loses the election. But there will likely be a clash of nut-jubs in major cities no matter who wins.
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Yeah there tons and tons of trump supporters rioting and looting business when they dont get their way.

Can't think of any leftists supporters doing that...
 
The polls that accurately predicted a 2 point win for Hillary in 2016 are ending with Biden up 8-10 nationally. If there is one thing Trump voters arent right now it's shy to admit who they support.
 
I’m thinking about putting a wager on Biden. Seeing him on the board at -180. Those odds imply about a 64-65% chance of a Biden win, while most polling data have him 85-90%

If you think Biden is going to win, there’s value to be had out there.
 
acesfull86 said:
I’m thinking about putting a wager on Biden. Seeing him on the board at -180. Those odds imply about a 64-65% chance of a Biden win, while most polling data have him 85-90%

If you think Biden is going to win, there’s value to be had out there.
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Do it. At least you get some extra money for Biden to tax
 
cajunrevenge said:
The polls that accurately predicted a 2 point win for Hillary in 2016 are ending with Biden up 8-10 nationally. If there is one thing Trump voters arent right now it's shy to admit who they support.
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Biden will win the popular vote. I think that much is certain. Biden is a substantially more likeable candidate than HRC and it's unlikely Trump has gained more supporters since 2016. Don't know that it will be that high of a margin, but if it is, Trump doesn't have a prayer.

It's very telling that Trump had to hold a rally Gin A just 2 days before election. I really thought the GA polls were slightly off and GA would be a comfortable win for Trump. But if the Trump campaign is willing to spend the time and resources to set that up 2 days before election, they must believe GA is close to a toss up. If Republican support is waning in deep red states like GA and TX, what do you think is happening in swing states like FL, MI and PA that Trump just barely won in 2016?
 
GA and TX aren't deep red. But there is a hierarchy of sorts. PA is 4-5% to the left of GA. So yeah, GA being highly competitive is not a good sign for very poorly chosen one.
 
Trump has to pick up new voters or this will be the biggest blowout in election history. My best guess is he ends around 65 million votes. From estimates I have seen he needs to pick up 11 million new voters to have a reasonable chance to win. PA is gone for Trump imo. Democrats have a 3-1 advantage in early voting giving Biden a million vote lead going into Nov 3. I dont buy the shy Trump voter or Democrats vote earlier argument. With the virus and Trump voters enthusiasm I dont buy it. I give a few points to Republicans in red states that are battleground states because they have more power to suppress votes there. What should be concerning for Trump in GA is that women make up 55% of voters to only 42.9% being men. Somehow almost 2% are unknown.
 
zbhargrove said:
Do you feel it yet? What’s about to happen?
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i heard the caravan honking through my town last night...the groundswell of support for very poorly chosen one is hard to miss...all those shy voters...none of them voted in 2016...gonna be yuge
 
[tw]1323305620439736321[/tw]

most of these lawsuits have had so little factual and legal basis they have been laughable
 
[tw]1323300475093966850[/tw]

from the co-chair of very poorly chosen one's NV campaign

the campaign to undermine public confidence in the integrity of the elections marches on
 
nsacpi said:
GA and TX aren't deep red. But there is a hierarchy of sorts. PA is 4-5% to the left of GA. So yeah, GA being highly competitive is not a good sign for very poorly chosen one.
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Not as deep as say, TN or AR, but GA hasn't gone blue for POTUS since 1992. And they've consistently had 5%+ spread between red and blue since then. I consider that fairly deep red. TX has been about as deep rep as you can be, not voting blue since 1976, with Red consistently having a 10%+ advantage over this time.
 
cajunrevenge said:
Trump has to pick up new voters or this will be the biggest blowout in election history. My best guess is he ends around 65 million votes. From estimates I have seen he needs to pick up 11 million new voters to have a reasonable chance to win. PA is gone for Trump imo. Democrats have a 3-1 advantage in early voting giving Biden a million vote lead going into Nov 3. I dont buy the shy Trump voter or Democrats vote earlier argument. With the virus and Trump voters enthusiasm I dont buy it. I give a few points to Republicans in red states that are battleground states because they have more power to suppress votes there. What should be concerning for Trump in GA is that women make up 55% of voters to only 42.9% being men. Somehow almost 2% are unknown.
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Trump loses PA, and it's all over, imo. MI and WI are much safer bets to go blue than PA.
 
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