GDT: 11/3/20, Election Day, Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph R. Biden

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It's been fascinating to see Trump go from +15% in Georgia last night, to now down to less than 2% as of right now. Even Biden wasn't up that high in Texas, Ohio, or North Carolina or Florida before Trump's rural vote came in and saved the day.
 
Enscheff said:
They are counting mail-in ballots, which Trump bent over backwards to ensure were mostly Dem votes. So of course those ballots will heavily favor Biden...exactly as designed.

Genius move by Trump because now he can accuse the system of being rigged, and morons like tehteh will believe it.
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I think this data might be relevant later on with the accusations flying around. I dont know of any way to get it retroactively and things are moving at a snail's pace so got little else to do.
 
cajunrevenge said:
PA now at 83% keeping track as they change now





Trump was at. 52.7% 3,094,872 votes
Trump now at. 52.3% 3,101,645 votes



Biden was at. 46.1% 2,705,983 votes
Biden now at 46.5% 2,761,196 votes



So Biden added about 60k votes to Trumps 7k in that 1%
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If these trends hold up (~75% of mail in votes for Biden), these mail in ballots yet to be counted will be something like 1M for Biden and 300k for Trump.

That's roughly Biden at 3.7 million and Trump at 3.4 million.
 
The Chosen One said:
It's been fascinating to see Trump go from +15% in Georgia last night, to now down to less than 2% as of right now.
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As I understand it, the counting in the counties around Atlanta were slow to count. Since they are overwhelmingly Biden, it stands to reason as they count them the lead narrows.
 
cajunrevenge said:
I am more than fine with double checking but I dont find that number to be proof of anything. Voting increased a great deal all over the place. Going from 67% to 89% isnt THAT big of a jump.
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I think there are a few things going on. Going from 67 to 89 represents a 33% increase. But votes cast only have gone up 15%. I suspect what happened is they cleaned up the voting list by getting rid of inactive voters. I think states are supposed to do that now and then. If you reduce the rolls of eligible voters its going to exaggerate how much turnout goes up. I'm guessing that's what happened because the actual increase in votes is around 15%, which itself is impressive.
 
But Trump's plan is working perfectly. Force the mail in vote to be hugely blue, delay the counting of that blue vote as much as possible, then cry foul when the results appear irregular to dumb people.

Brilliantly played...
 
The Chosen One said:
It's been fascinating to see Trump go from +15% in Georgia last night, to now down to less than 2% as of right now. Even Biden wasn't up that high in Texas, Ohio, or North Carolina or Florida before Trump's rural vote came in and saved the day.
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I'm watching the shenanigans in Chatham County with an eagle eye.

What's this? Suddenly another 12,000 votes for credibly accused creepy joe. That's crazy.
 
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nsacpi said:
I think there are a few things going on. Going from 67 to 89 represents a 33% increase. But votes cast only have gone up 15%. I suspect what happened is they cleaned up the voting list by getting rid of inactive voters. I think states are supposed to do that now and then. If you reduce the rolls of eligible voters its going to exaggerate how much turnout goes up. I'm guessing that's what happened because the actual increase in votes is around 15%, which itself is impressive.
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My county had a turnout of like 90%. Folks are voting like never before, and it's great...even if I disagree with a lot of them.
 
Dalyn said:
No election is ever official until December, so there is no reason things can't be done completely and fairly and get every vote counted, regardless of how sabotaged the USPS was.
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My main point is the USPS should never be involved in this going forward. This isn't 1920.
 
EmAmJoVXYAU9Gef
 
The Chosen One said:
CNN now calling Michigan for Biden.
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Which means as long as Biden holds on to Arizona and Nevada it's all over but the recounts.

I think there's a 50/50 shot Biden going into recounts also wins PA and GA. But I'm not willing to bet on it. He's just in a decent place for a late lead change. But he doesn't even need them. He just needs to hold on to Nevada and Arizona and he wins.
 
If the undelivered mail votes get counted, I wonder what the margin would look like in Michigan.
 
PA now at 84%


Biden now at 46.7% 2,798,232 votes
Trump now at 52.0% 3,118,163 votes



Biden gained 37k
Trump gained 14k



If Biden gained the same for the remaining 16% he would make up 370k votes. He is currently down 320k votes
 
Enscheff said:
The fact conservatwits rejected this man in favor of the orange buffoon says everything we need to know about those people.
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McCain is far from the good guy he is portrayed as but that's a story for another time. Still leagues better than Trump imo.
 
Enscheff said:
If these trends hold up (~75% of mail in votes for Biden), these mail in ballots yet to be counted will be something like 1M for Biden and 300k for Trump.

That's roughly Biden at 3.7 million and Trump at 3.4 million.
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that's what PA Democrats are telling the Biden camp, a final margin of 200,000 to 300,000
 
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