GDT: 11/3/20, Election Day, Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph R. Biden

[Dalyn]

I'm an analyst within a finanxe/accounting infrastructure. I'm not advanced enough in statistics to be a data scientist. But most of my knowledge on auditing theory comes from my 4 years at pwc. Risk analytics yell you what you need to look at.

Cool! That sounds like a blast. Do you have the data you are looking at handy where you could post it and walk us through why you consider this Biden win so improbable? I would like to see where we are differing. Could just be that I am not finding the data you have!

 

[goldfly]

Democrats getting whiter and more elitist.

Republicans are getting more diverse and representstive of the working class.

Sorry collared shirt coastal leftists. The nation is no longer yours. Save your sanctimonious fake outrage for your echo chambers and focus groups.

lol

 

[goldfly]

[tw]1330148622898515969[/tw]

always stay tuned!!!!

 

[thethe]

Cool! That sounds like a blast. Do you have the data you are looking at handy where you could post it and walk us through why you consider this Biden win so improbable? I would like to see where we are differing. Could just be that I am not finding the data you have!

I dont have the data in its raw format to perform that analysis on my own. I suggest a few follows on Twitter such as

Real American politics
Election wizard
Steve Cortes
Matt Braynard

All of them have the analysis and links to others.

Do you know where raw data can be exported? Once the data is available all of these items are extremely easy to isolate.

 

[Dalyn]

lol

I mean, it is technically true, but it was getting to the point that it was going to be hard for the republican party to get any less diverse. I love seeing even a small shift in the right direction. So many people are beginning to realize that if you are conservative but not a religious right conservative, you can still make a difference from the inside. In fact, showing the party that it can survive and even flourish with a much less insane base is perhaps not only the best approach to ridding the world of this menace, but the only way to do it. It is a good thing, and it is a small but promising indicator that the future is going to be better.

 

[Dalyn]

I dont have the data in its raw format to perform that analysis on my own. I suggest a few follows on Twitter such as

Real American politics
Election wizard
Steve Cortes
Matt Braynard

All of them have the analysis and links to others.

Do you know where raw data can be exported? Once the data is available all of these items are extremely easy to isolate.

That's what I am having trouble finding. I would like to take a look myself, but all I can find are these other people reporting on stuff that I don't really trust and can't verify.

 

[Dalyn]

I have a program that I use for other stuff dealing with data and numbers (okay okay it's totally gambling) that I think I could tweak to work nicely with some of this raw data if I could get my hands on it!

 

[goldfly]

I mean, it is technically true, but it was getting to the point that it was going to be hard for the republican party to get any less diverse. I love seeing even a small shift in the right direction. So many people are beginning to realize that if you are conservative but not a religious right conservative, you can still make a difference from the inside. In fact, showing the party that it can survive and even flourish with a much less insane base is perhaps not only the best approach to ridding the world of this menace, but the only way to do it. It is a good thing, and it is a small but promising indicator that the future is going to be better.

i'm laughing that i can't figure out if they are saying i'm elitist rich person who doesn't care about the people or a do nothing lazy person who just wants a welfare check

it seems it depends on the day

 

[sturg33]

If my choices are racist asshole who let's us live our lives and doesn't want to lock us down VS a great scholar who mandates I stay in my home alone for Thanksgiving or risk jail time...

I know how I'm voting.

Freedom matters more than mean words

 

[sturg33]

i'm laughing that i can't figure out if they are saying i'm elitist rich person who doesn't care about the people or a do nothing lazy person who just wants a welfare check

it seems it depends on the day

The modern day democratic party is a bunch of rich white people telling a bunch of poor minorities how oppressed they are.

 

[goldfly]

yes, words

just words

nothing happens cause of those words when the president uses them. has no power at all

but i guess when those racist words that emboldened the other racists and said racists aren't against you

it doesn't matter

cause, after all, it's only their freedom that is in danger then and not yours

 

[Dalyn]

i'm laughing that i can't figure out if they are saying i'm elitist rich person who doesn't care about the people or a do nothing lazy person who just wants a welfare check

it seems it depends on the day

It does. Due to Covid, we are now a social distancing party. Monday, Wednesday, and Friday is the welfare shift. Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday is the elitist rich person shift. Sunday everyone from both parties and all shifts get together to pretend to be good people at church. They don't have to wear masks, because they already are.

 

[sturg33]

yes, words

just words

nothing happens cause of those words when the president uses them. has no power at all

but i guess when those racist words that emboldened the other racists and said racists aren't against you

it doesn't matter

cause, after all, it's only their freedom that is in danger then and not yours

Do you have a specific example of this outside of Jussie Smollet?

 

[thethe]

I have a program that I use for other stuff dealing with data and numbers (okay okay it's totally gambling) that I think I could tweak to work nicely with some of this raw data if I could get my hands on it!

Haha. You gamblers.

Excel is an amazing tool to have an advanced ovwr the muguls

 

[sturg33]

Cause I got thousands of examples of people dying or thrown in jail or denied their bill of rights at the hands of a democratic politician.

If you have more or worse examples from alleged racist words like Pocahontas inciting more damage, I'd love to see it.

 

[goldfly]

are we just disregarding the rise of hate crimes in this country during his administration?


why would i bring up him?

 

[sturg33]

Yeah the Smollet hate crime was tragic. Hilarious that 100s of people would fake hate crimes bc they know people like you incentivize it

And yeah I don't know why new York liberals are targeting jews these days. I hope they stop soon.

If we're not careful someone might decide to burn down a city!!

 

[Dalyn]

Haha. You gamblers.

Excel is an amazing tool to have an advanced ovwr the muguls

I have been recording every hand I've played since I was 16. I used to do all the work by hand to figure out any leaks or perhaps patterns that could be picked up on over time. I did it for fun at the beginning because I love math, but then I started to find how many ways it could improve my play. Eventually, I found a program I could work with to get a clearer picture of things I hadn't considered. There's also the added benefit that I pretty much know exactly how much I am up after 20+ years of gambling hard core. You also get such a great view of how your game has changed in ways you didn't even notice.

 

[sturg33]

Looks like hate crimes are up since Trump. That doesn't surprise me at all the left has resorted to violence to people they hate in the age of Trump.

Man hate crimes were way higher in the oughts. I guess Bush was a racist too, like Romney, like McCain, like Regan, like every R who has ever existed

Unfortunately, the racist dog don't bark no more

 

[sturg33]

I have been recording every hand I've played since I was 16. I used to do all the work by hand to figure out any leaks or perhaps patterns that could be picked up on over time. I did it for fun at the beginning because I love math, but then I started to find how many ways it could improve my play. Eventually, I found a program I could work with to get a clearer picture of things I hadn't considered. There's also the added benefit that I pretty much know exactly how much I am up after 20+ years of gambling hard core. You also get such a great view of how your game has changed in ways you didn't even notice.

Do you trust online virtual card gambling? I've always been skeptical when not playing humans