The Coronavirus, not the beer

An unbelievable thread on how lockdowns are one of the greatest systemic attacks on poor people while simultaneously a generational boon for wealthy people

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If Carp and goldy and the board lecturer want to claim these pivots aren't political but rather shifting to the data and the science,

Does that mean they believe Trump, thethe, DeSantis, and sturg33 were all correct and have been for months?
 
Shockingly, the week after lowering the standards for a positive test, positive cases plummet.

Don't worry yall, this is all legit and above board

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sturg33 said:
Yes positive cases are declining after positivity testing thresholds were changed 10 days ago.

I'm shocked!
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if it is an artifact of shifting thresholds then the usual lagged decline in deaths won't occur...it is an empirical question that will be resolved shortly

we already have a hint from the hospitalizations data how it will go
 
There's a good chance that what we're seeing is this wave finally peaking. That's the normal path of an infectious disease. We've already seen a couple different COVID waves.
 
nsacpi said:
if it is an artifact of shifting thresholds then the usual lagged decline in deaths won't occur...it is an empirical question that will be resolved shortly

we already have a hint from the hospitalizations data how it will go
Click to expand...

If hospitals are full...how will the data show?
 
Tapate50 said:
If hospitals are full...how will the data show?
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hospitalizations are down quite a bit in the past week...pretty much every state...some of them by a large amount...would seem consistent with the drop in cases being real and not an artifact of testing protocols
 
striker42 said:
There's a good chance that what we're seeing is this wave finally peaking. That's the normal path of an infectious disease. We've already seen a couple different COVID waves.
Click to expand...

it's almost as if there is an endogenous cycle...cases rise...people get scared and adjust behavior...cases drop...people get complacent and careless...cases rise

and then there are a whole set of exogeneous factors: policy interventions, new strains, weather, other things we don't know about
 
nsacpi said:
it's almost as if there is an endogenous cycle...cases rise...people get scared and adjust behavior...cases drop...people get complacent and careless...cases rise

and then there are a whole set of exogeneous factors: policy interventions, new strains, weather, other things we don't know about
Click to expand...

what about the biggest exogenous factor of all, the fact a new political party is in control of the White House so all the ducks have lined up, including Republican Governors like Charlie Baker.
 
nsacpi said:
it's almost as if there is an endogenous cycle...cases rise...people get scared and adjust behavior...cases drop...people get complacent and careless...cases rise

and then there are a whole set of exogeneous factors: policy interventions, new strains, weather, other things we don't know about
Click to expand...

Don't forget the biggest change.

New President
 
The week of the new administration saw a massive shift in testing thresholds, along with nearly a dozen cities and states lifting their draconian restrictions on its citizens.

I am legit stunned how blind and naive yall are
 
sturg33 said:
Don't forget the biggest change.

New President
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so...conspiracy to bring down cases...another conspiracy to bring down hospitalizations and soon a third conspiracy to bring down deaths

that's so crazy it just might be true

man you've turned into a thethe parody account
 
The Chosen One said:
what about the biggest exogenous factor of all, the fact a new political party is in control of the White House so all the ducks have lined up, including Republican Governors like Charlie Baker.
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don't forget your own governor Kemp...hospitalizations falling in georgia...Kemp must be part of the conspiracy...maybe the ccp paid him off...maybe Dominion's algorithms are messing with the covid data...better investigate
 
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