Evan Gattis prediction thread

[Heyward]

Saw this on another board.

What do you think his numbers will be as the full-time starter, provided health of course.

I do worry about his health, i will admit but just for kicks and giggles....

.245/.315, 25 HR's, 80 RBI's, 100+ K's.

 

[thethe]

250/320/550 35 HR's

 

[AUTiger7222]

.246/.321/.513 (.834), 29 HR

 

[Dalyn]

.241 .303 .536

 

[zitothebrave]

I think his ZIPS is really close I'll tweak it a hair.

.250/.300/.490

 

[weso1]

.270/.350/.999

 

[Millwood1Hitter]

White Bear only stats that matter: 135 G, 135 HR

 

[yeezus]

.256/.320/.500

27 homers.

 

[Orphan Black]

1/1/5

 

[cajunrevenge]

.255/.315/.500

 

[50PoundHead]

.750 OPS. Slice it up any way you want. 25 HRs.

 

[yeezus]

.750 OPS. Slice it up any way you want. 25 HRs.

I kind of think most people, if not everyone but you, are going on the optimistic side. He could realistically hit .225-.230. He could be extremely inconsistent and struggle for long periods.

My prediction was probably optimistic. I don't think we're in terrible shape if he goes .750, though.

 

[50PoundHead]

I kind of think most people, if not everyone but you, are going on the optimistic side. He could realistically hit .225-.230. He could be extremely inconsistent and struggle for long periods.

My prediction was probably optimistic. I don't think we're in terrible shape if he goes .750, though.

Agreed. He was a .771 OPS last season and I think he's going to have a difficult time doing that again, especially if he's catching 130 games. He could hit .225, but a lot of those hits are going to be HRs, which will spike his SLG and contribute to a higher OPS. I don't think he will walk that much. It looks like I'm one of the less optimistic, because a lot of folks have him > .800 OPS.

 

[thethe]

Of course I am going to be insane in my prediction with Gattis but the logical side of me believes it because last year was basically his high minors year. As a result of his wrist injury in 2012 he was really rushed last year because of the Mac injury and his fast start. Last year was the first time he saw legitimate breaking balls. I think last year was a great learning experience and we will see percentages more in line with what he did in the minor leagues.

 

[zitothebrave]

I kind of think most people, if not everyone but you, are going on the optimistic side. He could realistically hit .225-.230. He could be extremely inconsistent and struggle for long periods.

My prediction was probably optimistic. I don't think we're in terrible shape if he goes .750, though.

Gattis has power. It will be really hard for him not to be near a .750 OPS.

Of all the guys who had an iso over .200 (30 qualified players) only 3 players were below a .750 OPS. Mark Trumbo (.747) Mitch Moreland (.736) and Yeonis Cespedes (.737) Every single one of them hit below .240 and K'd over 22% of the time. I think Gattis is about as safe of a bet to have a .750 OPS as anyone on this team.

 

[yeezus]

Gattis has power. It will be really hard for him not to be near a .750 OPS.

Of all the guys who had an iso over .200 (30 qualified players) only 3 players were below a .750 OPS. Mark Trumbo (.747) Mitch Moreland (.736) and Yeonis Cespedes (.737) Every single one of them hit below .240 and K'd over 22% of the time. I think Gattis is about as safe of a bet to have a .750 OPS as anyone on this team.

I'm a cautious believer in Gattis, but I think those rates are possible for him.
He could definitely have a very Trumbo-like season.

 

[depley]

Barring injury I think you guys are underselling Gattis. I think he is a better hitter than being given credit, just look at his minor league numbers. I say he hits .280/.360/.510 with 28 HR, 85 RBI.

 

[50PoundHead]

Thanks zito. You've provided perfect examples for my unresearched opinion. Catching wears a lot of guys out, as much mentally as physically, and Gattis was barely a full-time catcher in the minors, so I think there is going to be a big adjustment for him in that regard.

 

[yeezus]

Barring injury I think you guys are underselling Gattis. I think he is a better hitter than being given credit, just look at his minor league numbers. I say he hits .280/.360/.510 with 28 HR, 85 RBI.

I'm going to say no way he hits these numbers. .280 is a lot to ask of someone like him.

 

[Julio3000]

Thanks zito. You've provided perfect examples for my unresearched opinion. Catching wears a lot of guys out, as much mentally as physically, and Gattis was barely a full-time catcher in the minors, so I think there is going to be a big adjustment for him in that regard.

A good point.